West Virginia vs. Kansas State Total Pick

West Virginia vs. Kansas State, 9/22/18 Week 4 Predictions

Kansas State finds itself as a double-digit road underdog to West Virginia on Saturday afternoon. Will the Wildcats cover the point spread versus the Mountaineers when these Big 12 rivals meet at 3:30 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

363 Kansas State Wildcats at 364 West Virginia Mountaineers

3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, September 22, 2018

Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Mountaineers are 16-point favorites to beat the Wildcats. The total, meanwhile, sits at 60.5 points. As of this writing, 64% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Mountaineers.

Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State junior QB Alex Delton completed his only pass for a 72-yard touchdown in Saturday's 41-17 victory against UTSA and he ran four times for six yards. Delton saw extensive playing time in the opener against FCS South Dakota, and less time against Mississippi State last week. His snaps were even further curtailed this week, as HC Bill Snyder stuck with the hot hand of Skylar Thompson. Delton's snap total is likely to continue to be limited heading into the West Virginia game next week and he should continue to hold the clipboard unless Thompson is befallen by an injury during the conference portion of the schedule.

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia senior QB Will Grier completed 21 of his 26 passes, throwing for 332 yards, four touchdowns and one interception in Saturday's 52-17 win over Youngstown State. After throwing for 429 yards and five touchdowns in West Virginia's season-opening win over Tennessee, Grier tacked on another four touchdowns to his season tally at the expense of the Penguins. Grier has now surpassed the 300-yard mark in 11 of his 13 starts as a Mountaineer, and through two games he's played to the level expected by those who projected him as a Heisman Trophy candidate before the season began.

Betting Trends

Kansas State

The Wildcats are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games played in the month of September but are 3-1-1 against the number in their last five road games.

West Virginia

The Mountaineers are 3-10 against the spread in their last 13 games following an off week and are 1-3-1 against the number in their last 53  home game.

Prediction

This is what happens every year with Bill Snyder’s team. They don’t look explosive offensively, they lose a game where they don’t come close to covering, then from seemingly out of nowhere they play with one of the big dogs in the conference. While Kansas State doesn’t have the talent that West Virginia does, the Mountaineers are also coming off an unexpected bye week because of Hurricane Florence and it could take them a quarter or two to shake off the rust. I expect K-State to play well defensively, not turn the ball over, and cover the spread.

 

College Football Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats +16

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