Southern Miss vs. Alabama Total Pick

Southern Miss vs. Alabama, 9/17/19 Week 4 Predictions & Preview

Is No. 2 Alabama set to have another lofty scoring night when the Crimson Tide play host to Southern Miss on Saturday at Noon ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

359 Southern Miss vs. 360 Alabama

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Noon ET – Bryant-Denny Stadium


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Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Alabama is the clear favorite in this game, as the Crimson Tide are getting odds of -39 points against Southern Miss. The over/under total for the game is listed at 60.5 points. The public betting currently has 91 percent going on Alabama as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Southern Miss edges Troy

The Southern Miss football team is coming off a 47-42 win at Troy last weekend to move to 2-1 on the season. The Golden Eagles are 2-1 against the spread while going 2-1 with the over through three games.

The Golden Eagles are having success on offense, as they are averaging 33.3 points and 453 yards per game this season. Defensively, Southern Miss is allowing 30 points and 377 yards per contest. Jack Abraham is leading the Southern Miss offense with 990 yards and five touchdowns, but he also has three interceptions. Three different receivers have over 200 yards for the Eagles this year. Jordan Mitchell is leading the team with 16 catches for 295 yards and two touchdowns. D.Q. Thomas is leading the defense with 24 tackles and two sacks.

Bama hammers South Carolina

Alabama went on the road to open SEC play last week, earning a 47-23 win at South Carolina. Despite the lofty win, the Tide didn’t cover the spread. Alabama is 3-0 on the season, 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 with the over.

The Crimson Tide have been dominant on both sides of the ball. The offense is putting up 50.3 points and 562 yards per game while the defense is giving up just 12 points and 308.3 yards per contest. Tua Tagovailoa is leading the team with 1,007 passing yards and 12 touchdowns while Jerry Jeudy has 24 catches for 308 yards and four scores. Najee Harris is the leading rusher with 156 yards and a score.

College Football Betting Trends

Southern Miss

The Eagles have hit the over in four straight road games and in five of their last seven games in September.


The Crimson Tide are 5-1 with the under in their last six against Conference USA opponents and 20-8-1 with the under in their last 29 home games against a team with a winning road record.


These two have met a lot over the last 20 years. They have hit the over in their last two meetings. The Eagles gave up 38 points to Mississippi State and I would suspect they will give up much more to Alabama. The Tide are likely to push for around 50 points once again. That doesn’t leave much work for Southern Miss to do. I think the Eagles can get to double digits in scoring to help the over hit, likely coming in garbage time in the second half.

College Football Week 4 Prediction: Southern Miss/Alabama Over 60.5

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