UCLA vs. Memphis Prediction

College Football Week 3 UCLA vs. Memphis Predictions 9/16/17

Is the UCLA versus Memphis matchup a trap game for bettors at 12:00PM ET, or will the Bruins cover easily?

Game Info

Who: UCLA (2-0) at Memphis (1-0)

When: 12:00PM ET, Saturday, September 16

Where: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are 3-point home underdogs versus the Bruins after opening as 2.5-point dogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 74.5 before dropping two full points to 72.5.

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UCLA Betting Trends

The Bruins have failed to cover the spread in just 11 of their last 16 games overall and are 2-6 against the number in their last eight road games. They’re also just 1-6 at the betting window in their last seven non-conference games and are winless at 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Memphis Betting Trends

The Tigers have struggled to cover at home, dropping four of their last five games at the betting window in Memphis. They’re also 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games when facing a team with a winning record and are 3-8 at the window in their last 11 games overall.

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OUR PREDICTION: Oddsmakers say they don't "trap" bettors and maybe they don't. But this game sure feels like a trap. Why are the Bruins only laying a field goal to an AAC team? The public must have the same thought because nearly 80% of tickets are on UCLA to cover. Here's what I don't like, though: The Bruins have to deal with a time change (it'll be 9:00AM in L.A. at kickoff in Memphis), they're banged up defensively, and Memphis has one of the better rushing attacks in the nation. Oh, and the Bruins have had trouble stopping the run. The Liberty Bowl is a tough place to play when the Tigers come out jacked (ask Ole Miss from a couple of years ago). Something is fishy about this line. I'll take Memphis.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: MEMPHIS TIGERS +3

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