SMU vs. TCU Prediction
Will TCU cover as a heavy home favorite this afternoon when it hosts SMU at 3:30PM ET?
Who: SMU (2-0) at TCU (2-0)
When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, September 16
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Horned Frogs are 20-point home favorites to knock off the Mustangs while the over/under currently sits at 64.5 points. Neither the point spread nor the total are off their original numbers.
SMU Betting Trends
The Mustangs are 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games and are 4-1 against the number in their last five games overall. They’re also 5-1 against the spread in their last six non-conference games but are just 8-20-1 against the number in their last 29 games versus Big 12 opponents.
TCU Betting Trends
The Horned Frogs have dropped all nine of their last nine home games and are just 4-11 against the number in their last 15 games overall. They’re also 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games following a win and are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
OUR PREDICTION: The Horned Frogs look back defensively under Gary Patterson. That was a strong display of defense on the road last week versus Arkansas, but TCU will be tested by SMU this afternoon. The Mustangs are averaging 56 points a game and boast one of the top receivers in the country in junior Courtland Sutton. SMU has also been opportunistic on defense, forcing five turnovers, all of which have been turned into touchdowns. With TCU coming off a revenge win against Arkansas and in a look-ahead spot with Oklahoma State coming up next week, this is a nice "sandwich" pick with SMU.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: SMU MUSTANGS +20