Tennessee vs. Florida Pick
Will Saturday’s Tennessee versus Florida SEC matchup stay under the betting total at 3:30PM ET?
Who: Tennessee (2-0) vs. Florida (0-1)
When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, September 16
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Gators are 5-point home favorites versus the Vols while the over/under currently sits at 49.5 points. Florida had opened as a 5.5-point favorite before the line was bet down, while the total hit the board at 49 before jumping to 49.5.
Tennessee Betting Trends
The Volunteers are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games and are 1-4 against the number in their last five conference games. They’re also just 2-5 against the number in their last seven games in September and have dropped 8 of their last 29 games (with one push) against the spread coming off a win of more than 20 points.
Florida Betting Trends
The Gators are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games in September and are 2-7-1 against the number in their last 10 home games. On the other side, Florida is 20-8 against the spread in their last 28 games following a bye week and are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous contest.
Our Prediction: The under is 9-3 in the Vols’ last 12 games versus a team with a losing record and is 4-1 in the Gators’ last five conference games. The under is also 6-2 in Florida’s last eight games overall and is 4-1 in its last five home games against an opponent with a winning road record.
College Football Week 3 Pick: TENNESSEE/FLORIDA UNDER 49.5