Texas State vs. Texas A&M Total Pick
Will Texas State put up enough of a fight to hit the over when the Bobcats meet up with No. 12 Texas A&M tonight at 8:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
139 Texas State vs. 140 Texas A&M
Thursday, August 29, 2019
8:30PM ET – Kyle Field
TV: SEC Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Texas A&M is the clear favorite in this game, as the Aggies are getting odds of -33 points against Texas State. The over/under total is listed at 57 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Texas A&M as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Aggies with momentum under Fisher
Texas A&M had a solid first year under new coach Jimbo Fisher in 2018, going 9-4 on the season with a 5-3 record in the SEC. The Aggies were also 9-4 against the spread while posting a 7-6 record with the under.
The Aggies had a great offense in 2018, averaging 36 points and 471.6 yards per game. They had a great rushing attack behind now-NFL star Trayveon Williams, who rushed for 1,760 yards. Quarterback Kellen Mond threw for 3,107 yards and 24 touchdowns while rushing for 474 yards and seven scores. He is back to lead the offense this season. Defensively, Texas A&M gave up 25.3 points and 348.4 yards per game last season. Their run defense ranked third nationally, allowing only 95.2 yards per contest.
Texas State welcomes new coach
Texas State is coming into a new era in its program as Jake Spavital takes over head coaching duties. The Bobcats are coming off a 3-9 record in 2018 and a 1-7 mark in the Sun Belt Conference. Texas State went 6-5-1 against the spread and posted an 8-4 mark with the under.
The Bobcats had one of the worst offenses in the nation last year, averaging just 19.8 points and 330.3 yards per game. The offense has just four starters back this year. Tyler Vitt will lead the offense after seeing split time in 2018. He threw for 1,159 yards and seven touchdowns last year, but also had 10 interceptions. The Bobcats have to replace a lot in the backfield and at receiver. Defensively, Texas State gave up 27.7 points and 383.9 yards per game. Their run defense gave up 182.3 yards per contest.
College Football Betting Trends
The Aggies have hit the over in seven of their last eight non-conference games, but have hit the under in five of their last six against Sun Belt opponents.
Texas State has hit the under in five straight games on grass and in 10 of their last 14 road games.
I like Texas A&M to have its way with Texas State in this game, but I think that will lead to the under hitting. The Bobcats were awful on offense last year and now have to work in a new system with a lot of experience returning. A&M has some new pieces as well, but can be very explosive. However, I don’t see it being explosive enough to carry the over. Texas State will struggle to get to 10 points, so that forces A&M to have to score around 45-50 points.
College Football Week 1 Prediction: Texas State/Texas A&M Under 57