Kentucky vs. Georgia Spread Prediction
The Kentucky Wildcats have put together an incredible season both on the field and at the betting window but will they finally meet their match on Saturday afternoon when they host the Georgia Bulldogs at 3:30 p.m. ET? Or will the Wildcats serve up another win for bettors as a sizable home dog?
3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 3, 2018
Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Bulldogs are 8.5-point favorites to beat the Wildcats. The total, meanwhile, sits at 45 points. As of this writing, 52% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Bulldogs.
Georgia sophomore QB Jake Fromm completed 17-of-24 passes for 240 yards and three touchdowns in Saturday's 36-17 win over Florida. Fromm got things going in earnest in the second half, when he hooked up with Jeremiah Holloman on touchdown passes in each of the final two quarters. The sophomore quarterback has been Steady Eddie this season, with Saturday's three-touchdown showing his fourth in eight games. After a relatively cushy schedule through the first two months, Fromm and company have three potentially tricky games upcoming in their final four contests. They'll close out the campaign against Kentucky, Auburn, UMass and Georgia Tech.
Kentucky redshirt sophomore Terry Wilson completed 22-of-31 passes for 267 yards, one touchdown and one interception in Saturday's 15-14 win at Missouri, and his TD came with no time left on the clock. It was a roller-coaster game for Wilson, who was benched at one point in favor of Gunnar Hoak. He was even more ineffective, so Wilson returned under center and engineered the game-winning touchdown to C.J. Conrad with no time left on the clock. Wilson also jelled rather nicely with Lynn Bowden Jr. (13-166-0) again, too. He should be brimming with confidence heading into an SEC East showdown with Georgia next Saturday.
The Bulldogs are 11-3 against the spread in their last 14 road games and are 9-4 against the number in their last 13 games overall.
The Wildcats are 8-21 against the spread in their last 29 home games but 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing a team with a winning record.
At some point an opponent will drag Kentucky into a shootout and the Wildcats will fall because they simply don’t have a passing game. That said, no opponent has been able to accomplish that this season. Texas A&M couldn’t do it, Mississippi State couldn’t do it, South Carolina couldn’t do it, and Missouri couldn’t do it. Granted, the Aggies beat the Wildcats in overtime and the Tigers should have won last week had it not been for a phantom pass interference call that gave UK an untimed final play to win in Columbia. Still, Kentucky is one of those teams that mucks the game up and forces opponents to play on their terms. Why would today be any different? Give me the home dog despite Georgia’s firepower.
College Football Prediction: Kentucky Wildcats +8.5