Oregon/UNC Total Pick
Will North Carolina and Oregon light up the scoreboard when they meet up tonight in the Final Four at 8:49PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, North Carolina is favored in this game, as the Tar Heels are getting odds of -5 points against the Ducks. The over/under total for the game is listed at 152.5 points. Today’s game will be taking place from University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona and will air live on CBS.
Oregon comes into today’s game with a 33-5 record following two weeks of unbeaten play. The Ducks are 20-17 with the under this season, hitting it in their last two games despite going 6-3 with the over in their last nine. Oregon has put up 78.6 points per game on offense this season while allowing 65.8 on defense. During this NCAA Tournament run, the Ducks are averaging 77.75 on offense while giving up 69.25 on defense.
North Carolina is 31-7 coming into tonight’s game. They have trended strongly with the under this season, going 21-14-1 with the under in 2016-17. They are 2-2 in the tournament with the over and under. During the season, UNC averaged 84.5 points per game on offense while giving up 70.9 defensively. During the NCAA Tournament, UNC is putting up 85.5 per game on offense while giving up 70.5 on defense.
While both teams have shown the ability to put up a big number, it has been their respective defensive efforts that have carried them in the big games. Oregon held Kansas to just 60 and Michigan to 68 while UNC allowed only 73 to Kentucky and 65 to Arkansas. I expect this game to be somewhat competitive, which means the defensive effort should be there from both teams. 152.5 is a pretty big number to hit and I just don’t see that happening tonight.
MARCH MADNESS PREDICTION: OREGON/NORTH CAROLINA UNDER 152.5