Wisconsin vs. Kentucky Trends


INDIANAPOLIS, IN (TheSpread) – Kentucky is looking for 39-0 on Saturday against Wisconsin. Do the trends support a Wildcats cover against the Badgers?

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According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Kentucky is favored in this game, as the Wildcats are getting odds of -5 points against Wisconsin on Saturday. The over/under total for the game has been set at 131 points.

These two have only met twice since 2003, including in last year’s Final Four. Kentucky has won both meetings, but Wisconsin is 1-0-1 against the spread in the two games. They have hit the over and under once each in the two meetings.

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Trends slightly favor Wisconsin in this game. Kentucky is just 1-4-1 against the spread in its last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage over .600. Wisconsin is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 NCAA Tournament games and 21-7-1 ATS in its last 29 non-conference games.

The trends on the total are split between the two teams. Kentucky has been strong with the under, hitting it in 8 of its last 10 on a neutral site and 15 of its last 18 non-conference games. Wisconsin has trended with the over, as it has hit it in 4 of its last 5 games overall and 4 of its last 5 NCAA Tournament games.

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