Texas A&M vs. Alabama Prediction

Texas A&M vs. Alabama 3/12/23 CBB Betting Prediction, Odds, & Trends

Number eighteen Texas A&M and #4 Alabama face each other on ESPN at 1:00 PM ET Sunday afternoon for the SEC Tournament championship.

Can the Aggies cover the 4.5-point spread as neutral-site underdogs?

Texas A&M is 25-8 on the year with their best wins coming over Missouri and Alabama. Their worst losses came against Murray State and Wofford. The Aggies are 23-10 against the spread this season.

Alabama is 28-5 this season with their best wins coming over Houston and Missouri. Their worst losses came against Oklahoma and Tennessee. The Crimson Tide are 18-14-1 against the spread this year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

655 Texas A&M Aggies (+4.5) vs. 656 Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5); O/U 145.5

1:00 PM ET, Sunday, March 12, 2023

Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

Texas A&M vs. Alabama Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Crimson Tide in this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 60% of public bets are on Alabama -4.5. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Texas A&M Game Notes

Aggies guard Tyrece Radford is the team’s second-leading scorer. Radford is posting 13.2 points and 5.5 rebounds per game for Texas A&M this season. The Virginia Tech transfer has scored at least 10 points in 14 of his last 15 games and he’s averaging 13.5 points per game so far in the SEC Tournament. He could be the X-factor for Texas A&M on Sunday.

The Aggies’ leading rebounder is junior forward Henry Coleman III. Coleman is grabbing 5.7 rebounds per contest this season. He’s also third on the club in scoring with 9.6 points per game. Coleman and fellow forward Julius Marble will be key Sunday against Alabama’s skilled frontcourt.

Alabama Game Notes

Alabama forward Noah Clowney is one of the team’s most important players. Clowney is tied for the team lead in rebounding with 8.1 boards per game and ranks third on the club in scoring with 9.9 points per game. He was huge in Alabama’s semifinal win over Missouri on Saturday night, pouring in 19 points on 7 of 11 shooting. Clowney and Alabama star forward Brandon Miller will likely have a big impact on this game. 

Texas A&M vs. Alabama CBB Betting Trends

Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning straight-up record.

Texas A&M is 24-8 in their last 32 games following an ATS win.

The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Texas A&M and Alabama.

Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an outright win. 

Texas A&M vs. Alabama CBB Prediction:

These two teams played each other on March 4th in College Station, Texas. Texas A&M won that game 67-61 largely by forcing Alabama to commit 18 turnovers. The Aggies only shot 25% from three-point range in that game and still won rather comfortably. I think Texas A&M is playing their best basketball right now. They had some early season hiccups against Murray State, Colorado, and Wofford, but the Aggies have gone 10-1 since February 4th. In that stretch, they beat Tennessee, Alabama, Missouri, Auburn, Vanderbilt, and Arkansas twice. I think Texas A&M is battle-tested and they’ll have the in-game coaching advantage on Sunday. I’ll take the Aggies and the points in Nashville.


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