Fresno State vs. Air Force Prediction

Fresno State vs. Air Force Predictions: Will Falcons Cover Spread? 2/26/17

Will the Air Force Falcons cover the spread tonight as a home underdog against Fresno State? The Mountain West rivals will tip-off at 9:00 p.m. ET.

Who Oddsmakers Like: Fresno State. According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Bulldogs are 6-point favorites to beat the Falcons, who opened as an 8-point underdog. The total, meanwhile, now sits at 139 points after hitting the board at 140.5.

Who Public Bettors Like: Fresno State. As of this writing, 59% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Bulldogs to cover the spread. Meanwhile, 60% of the betting tickets wagered online are on the under.

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Who We Like: If you just go by the records of these two teams then Fresno State looks like the easy play. The Bulldogs head into Monday night's action with a 20-9 record and a 7-3 mark over their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Falcons are just 11-16 on the year and have dropped six of their last 10.

That said, when you look at what Air Force has done at the betting window of late, you'll realize the Falcons boast plenty of value as a home dog. First and foremost, Air Force is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven home games, is 10-4 against the number in its lat 14 games overall (all of which came in conference play), and is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games when facing a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.

Finally, the Bulldogs are winless at 0-7 against the spread in their last seven games versus the Falcons while the underdog is a perfect 9-0 at the betting window in the last nine meetings between these two teams.



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