Duke vs. Virginia Prediction & Odds

Duke vs. Virginia 2/11/23 Betting Prediction, Odds, & Trends

Unranked Duke travels to Charlottesville to play #8 Virginia at 4:00 PM ET Saturday evening on ESPN. Can the Cavaliers cover the 6-point spread as home favorites?

Duke is 17-7 on the year with their best wins coming over Pittsburgh and Miami. Their worst losses came against Wake Forest and Virginia Tech. The Blue Devils are 9-15 against the spread this season.

Virginia is 18-4 this season with their best wins coming over Baylor and North Carolina State. Their worst losses came against Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech. The Cavaliers are 9-12-1 against the spread this year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

701 Duke Blue Devils (+6) vs. 702 Virginia Cavaliers (-6); O/U 126

4:00 PM ET, Saturday, February 11, 2023

John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA

Duke vs. Virginia Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Cavaliers in this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 59% of public bets are on Virginia -6. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Duke Game Notes

Duke forward Dariq Whitehead has missed the Blue Devils’ last four games with a leg injury and he’s officially listed as questionable for Saturday’s game. Whitehead is averaging 8.4 points per game in 20.4 minutes per contest for Duke this year.

If Dariq Whitehead can’t play, the Blue Devils will likely need freshman forward Mark Mitchell to step up. Mitchell is averaging 8.8 points and 4.3 rebounds per game for Duke this season. 

Virginia Game Notes

Virginia’s leading scorer is Indiana transfer Armaan Franklin. The 6’4” senior guard from Indianapolis is averaging 12.2 points and 4.3 rebounds per game while shooting a splendid 39.5% from beyond the arc this season.

The Cavaliers’ second leading scorer is senior forward Jayden Gardner. The 6’6” North Carolina product is posting 11.5 points and 5.1 rebounds per game for Virginia this season while shooting an efficient 51.8% from the field. The Wahoos will likely need both Armaan Franklin and Jayden Gardner to produce to win and cover this weekend. 

Duke vs. Virginia CBB Betting Trends

Duke is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Duke is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Virginia is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. 

Duke vs. Virginia CBB Prediction:

Virginia is a well-coached team. Their head coach Tony Bennett won a national championship with the Cavaliers in 2019 and has earned the ACC regular season crown 5 times in an 8-year span. His teams are always disciplined as evidenced by Virginia’s nation-leading assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.795. What’s more, Virginia is ninth in the country in scoring defense, only allowing 60.4 points per game.

Duke on the other hand has had their share of growing pains now that longtime head coach Mike Krzyzewski is no longer patrolling the sidelines. The Blue Devils rank 232nd nationally in effective field goal percentage and have a disappointing road record of 2-5 straight up. Duke has already lost conference road games to Wake Forest, NC State, Clemson, Virginia Tech, and Miami. On Saturday, I think they’ll add Virginia to that list.  


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