Last Updated on November 12, 2025 1:20 am by Alex Becker
SAN ANTONIO — The Golden State Warriors travel south to face the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night in a Western Conference showdown. Our Warriors vs. Spurs prediction weighs whether San Antonio’s home-court advantage and interior presence can hold up against Golden State’s perimeter firepower.
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Warriors vs. Spurs Odds: ML, Spread, Total
- Moneyline: Warriors +151 / Spurs -227
- Spread: Warriors +4.5 (-110) / Spurs -4.5 (-110)
- Total: 228 (Over -110 / Under -110)
- Start Time: 7:00 PM CT / 8:00 PM ET
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Warriors vs. Spurs Matchup Breakdown
- Pace & Shot Profile: Golden State (9th in pace) tries to push tempo when possible and often lives off three-point shot volume. San Antonio (29th in pace) is more deliberate, but efficient (5th in offensive efficiency), utilizing half-court sets and attacking the rim.
- On-Ball Creation: The Warriors’ guards (Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler) trigger motion and off-ball screens, but Golden State’s turnover rate (23rd in turnovers per possession) raises concerns. San Antonio’s star players Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox thrive when slowing possessions down and forcing opponents into isolation sets and 2-man actions.
- Interior & Glass: Golden State (18th in rim protection) lacks a consistent rim protector, so they may struggle to limit second-chance points. The Spurs (7th in rim protection) hold a rebounding and paint-scoring edge.
- Injury/Status: Warriors: Al Horford missed Tuesday’s game, but is listed as day-to-day. De’Anthony Melton is out for Wednesday’s contest. Spurs: Dylan Harper is out for Wednesday’s game.
Standings Stakes & Betting Angles
- Golden State is 1-6 SU on the road, and they need a road win to stay competitive in the tough Western Conference. San Antonio is 5-0 SU at home and is building towards a potential top 3 seed in the West.
- Totals note: With the total at 228, if the Warriors hit threes, get out in transition, and push possessions, the number could climb; if the Spurs dictate pace and use their length to clamp down defensively, the under becomes viable.
Warriors vs. Spurs Prediction & Expert Pick
Pick: Spurs -4.5 (-110). Our Warriors vs. Spurs prediction leans on San Antonio’s homecourt edge, 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against Golden State, and the Spurs’ 11-8 ATS record when playing with the rest advantage since the start of last season.
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