Tuesday NBA Best Bets Feb. 3: Will Pistons stay hot vs. visiting Nuggets?

Last Updated on February 3, 2026 11:41 am by Anthony Rome

The Heat have been tough to beat at home but will the Hawks put up a good fight tonight in Miami at 7:30 p.m. ET? Are the Knicks laying too many points as a sizable road favorite in Washington at 7:00 p.m. ET? Are the Pistons, winners of eight of their last 10 games, a smart bet as a 4-point favorite versus the Nuggets at 7:00 p.m. ET? Our Tuesday NBA Best Bets Feb. 3 column offers selections on all three matchups.

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NBA Best Bet: Pistons -4 (vs. Nuggets)

The Pistons have been a top offensive outfit in the league, and Detroit’s ability to push pace and score in bunches makes this spread look tasty. According to current odds, Detroit is favored by around -4 points with a total at 227.5 for this matchup.

Why this works:

Detroit’s ball movement and scoring balance puts pressure on defenses late, and they’ve shown the ability to win big at home.
Denver’s offense, even with Jokić, isn’t elite defensively — and they’ve historically cracked under heavy scoring pressure on the road.
Several models and prediction algorithms still project the combined output over the 227.5 total, meaning this could be a dual play: Pistons to cover and the game to go Over.

Betting angle:
✔ Pistons −4
✔ Total Over 227.5

This feels like a control tilt for Detroit early, but enough pace and players stepping up to push it to a higher combined total.

NBA Best Bet: Knicks -13 (at Wizards)

The Knicks are heavily favored in this one — around −13.5 — which points to a potential blowout if Washington’s defense continues to struggle.

Why this is a smart bet:

The Wizards have been inefficient on both ends, especially defensively, and New York’s defensive structure under their coach has been one of the better schemes in the East.
New York’s offense generates plenty of mid-range and three-point opportunities, pressuring undermanned defenses like Washington’s to give up points in bunches.
With the line so large, the Knicks can really crush weaker bench units late, which adds value to the cover.

Betting angle:
✔ Knicks −13.5

This is the classic heavy favorite covering spot where the better team gets out front and maintains intensity throughout.

NBA Best Bet: Heat -3.5 (vs. Hawks)

Why it’s a solid spread pick:

The Heat’s recent blowout over the Bulls showed their ability to close defensive possessions and control the glass, even missing some rotation players.
Atlanta has been inconsistent defending the paint and transition buckets, which plays right into Miami’s strategy of using physical defense to create scoring opportunities.
Given Atlanta’s streakiness and Miami’s discipline, Miami laying 3.5 points at home is one of the cleaner spots to back.

Betting angle:
✔ Heat −3.5

While the total is up for debate (teams could slow pace or ramp it up), the more consistent play here is the spread.