The Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 NBA Finals matchup will tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday night. Will Indiana continue to be a giant killer? Or will OKC even the series while also covering the spread?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers
8:30 p.m. ET, Friday, June 13, 2025
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
TV: ABC
Betting Odds
According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bovada.lv, the Thunder are 6-point road favorites versus the Pacers. The total, meanwhile, sits at 225.5 points.
Pacers vs. Thunder Game 2 Public Betting: Bettors Taking Points
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 60% of public bettors are currently backing the Pacers when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Series Momentum & Context
Indiana has emerged as the tougher, more physical team through the first three games, fighting past expectations to claim a 2–1 lead. Game 3 showcased their complete team effort, with bench-level brilliance overpowering OKC’s starters in crunch time. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City, fresh off a similar comeback against Denver, now needs to avoid falling into a 3–1 hole.
What to Watch
Bench scoring parity: Will OKC’s reserves match Indiana’s energy?
T.J. McConnell’s defensive impact—his Game 3 clamps were key.
Turner’s minutes: Staying healthy late in the game will help Indiana’s interior presence.
Key Matchups & X‑Factors
1. Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander vs. Pacers’ Physical Defense
SGA has averaged 30+ PPG this postseason, but was bottled up in Game 3—just 3 fourth-quarter shot attempts. Expect OKC to counter with increased screens and slashing to break free.
2. Bench Battles & Three-Point Shooting
Indiana’s bench exploded in Game 3, outscoring OKC’s reserves 49–18, led by Bennedict Mathurin’s 27 off the bench—a Finals mark only matched by Jason Terry in 2011. OKC must respond: Jalen Williams’s outside stroke (targeting 1.5+ threes) and role player production are crucial.
3. Tyrese Haliburton & Myles Turner
Haliburton flirted with a triple-double in Game 3 (22 Pts, 11 Ast, 9 Reb)—bucking critics who call into question his scoring assertiveness. Meanwhile, Turner, who battled illness, has been cleared for Game 4—his interior defense is a potential game-changer.
4. Fourth Quarter Control
Pacers dominated the fourth in Game 3 (+32–18), swinging the game in their favor. Oklahoma City must reclaim that edge if they’re to avoid elimination.
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 NBA Prediction:
This is a must-win for OKC. Expect Mark Daigneault to dial up adjustments—more ball screens for SGA, bench rotation changes, and tighter ball control (they turned it over 17 times in Game 3).
Shai bounces back with ~35 points.
Jalen Williams hits multiple threes to spark the bench.
SGA and Haliburton combine for strong playoffs stat lines, pushing OKC home with a crucial win in a nail‑biter.
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 4 Betting Prediction: INDIANA PACERS +6