Saturday has nearly half of the league in action as the second week of March 2026 comes to a close. It features 7 contests on a moderate NBA slate with start times ranging from 1:00 PM ET to 10:30 PM ET.
Can the Heat cover the 3.5-point spread as home favorites against the Magic? Will the Nuggets cover on the road against the Lakers at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles? I’ll make picks for both contests below. Read on for our Saturday NBA Best Bets March 14 article.
NBA Best Bet: Miami Heat -3.5 over Orlando Magic
I like Miami here. The Heat are primed to cover the 3.5-point spread as home favorites against the Orlando Magic on Saturday night. Miami is riding a massive wave, going 7-0 straight up and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.
They consistently capitalize in these spots, boasting a 20-14 ATS record as a favorite and a 22-15 ATS record on one day of rest this season. The Heat also dominate familiar foes, sitting at 25-15 ATS in conference matchups and 9-3 ATS in division games this year. Miami should cruise to their 8th straight ATS win.
Final score projection: MIAMI HEAT 112, ORLANDO MAGIC 105.
NBA Best Bet: Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 over Denver Nuggets
I’d take the Lakers in this one. Los Angeles is well-positioned to cover the 3.5-point spread as home underdogs against the Denver Nuggets on Saturday night. Los Angeles is highly profitable in this spot, going 20-14 ATS as the home team and 24-16 ATS on one day of rest in 2025-26.
The Lakers also thrive when on equal schedule footing, sitting at 21-16 ATS when playing opponents on equal rest this year. Riding a hot streak of 7-3 ATS overall and holding a dominant 7-3 ATS mark in their last 10 matchups against Denver, the Lakers offer immense value at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday night.
Final score projection: LOS ANGELES LAKERS 114, DENVER NUGGETS 112.
Saturday NBA Best Bets March 14
- Miami Heat -3.5
- Los Angeles Lakers +3.5
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