Mavericks vs. Nuggets Pick
Who Oddsmakers Like: Denver. According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Nuggets are listed as an 8-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 209 points. Denver opened as a 7-point fave, while the over-under has dropped from 211.
Who the Public Likes: Dallas. As of Saturday morning, 58 percent of the betting public is siding with the visiting Mavericks.
Injury Report: Mavericks point guard Devin Harris will miss tonight’s game as he is dealing with a brain injury and a personal matter. Nerlens Noel is out indefinitely as he recovers from surgery to repair a torn ligament in his thumb. Dorian Finney-Smith is dealing with tendinitis in his quadriceps and is out until mid-February. Seth Curry is recovering from a stress reaction in his leg and is out until mid-February. For the Nuggets, Kenneth Faried has missed the last two games with ankle soreness and is questionable tonight. Paul Millsap is recovering from surgery on a torn ligament in his wrist and is out until late February.
Who the Trends Like: Dallas is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The under is 5-0 in the last five Mavericks games when the opponent allowed 100 or more points in their previous game. Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight up victory of more than 10 points.
Who We Like: The last time these two teams met in Denver on Jan. 16, the Nuggets blew a huge lead to hold on for a 105-102 victory as 6-point favorites. Denver has won two in a row and is seemingly playing better basketball, but its inconsistencies have kept me from fully trusting them. Nikola Jokic had a massive game last time against the Mavs and if Dallas can put together a better game plan against him this time around, I like the visitors’ chances to cover here.
NBA DAILY PREDICTION: DALLAS MAVERICKS +8