Lakers vs. Hawks Prediction: Can Atlanta cover the small number?

NBA Best Bets Nov 23 NBA Best Bets Nov 23

Last Updated on November 7, 2025 11:52 pm by Alex Becker

ATLANTA — Saturday at State Farm Arena, the Lakers visit the Hawks in an early-season measuring-stick spot for both squads. Our Lakers vs. Hawks prediction weighs whether rim protection and paint control will prove to be the difference over four quarters.

For a quick refresher on beating the closer—how steam, key numbers, and juice shifts influence price—see our Closing Line Value primer · How To Shop Betting Lines.

🔔 Follow updates: Twitter/X · Bluesky · Facebook

💸 Compare Live Lakers vs Hawks Odds

Lakers vs. Hawks Odds: ML, Spread, Total

  • Moneyline: Lakers -155 / Hawks +135
  • Spread: Lakers -3.5 (-105) / Hawks +3.5 (-115)
  • Total: 231.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
  • Start Time: 5:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: NBA TV

Lakers vs. Hawks Matchup Breakdown

  • Pace & Shot Profile: Lakers are 18th in pace and 9th in offensive efficiency; Hawks are 9th in pace and 16th in offensive efficiency.
  • On-Ball Creation: With LeBron James and Austin Reaves out, L.A. will rely on Luka Doncic to create offense; with Trae Young out, Atlanta will lean on Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker to create good looks.
  • Interior & Glass: Lakers rank 10th in rebound rate and 14th in points in the paint allowed per game; Hawks rank 25th in rebound rate and 17th in points in the paint allowed per game.
  • Injury/Status: For Lakers: Austin Reaves, LeBron James, and Gabe Vincent are out. For Hawks: Trae Young is out; Luke Kennard (illness) missed Friday’s game and is questionable for Saturday.

Standings Stakes & Betting Angles

  • Los Angeles will look to stay undefeated on the road this season. Atlanta will try to avoid losing consecutive games for the first time since October 27th.
  • Totals note: If pace and free throw rate spike, the Over is live; if both teams protect the rim and elect to play in the half-court, the Under draws value—watch moves to new key totals (e.g., 229/231/235).

Lakers vs. Hawks Prediction & Expert Pick

Pick: Lakers -3.5 (-105). Our Lakers vs. Hawks prediction leans on Luka Doncic’s offensive prowess, LA’s recent success against the number (7-1 ATS in their last 8 games), and the Lakers’ perfect 4-0 ATS record in road games this year.

💰 Find The Best NBA Prices Before You Bet

NBA Betting: Odds, Trends & Strategy

Responsible Gaming

Wager responsibly and set limits. If betting stops being fun or feels out of control, seek help immediately. Read our full policy at Responsible Gaming, and visit the National Council on Problem Gambling for confidential resources, including live chat and helpline support.

Affiliate Disclosure

Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you click and make a purchase or deposit, we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. Our recommendations are editorially independent and based on analysis. For more information, please review our full policy: Affiliate Disclosure.