Last Updated on November 15, 2025 1:13 am by Alex Becker
CLEVELAND, OH — Memphis visits Cleveland on Saturday night as both teams look to improve their early-season form in a matchup defined by tempo control and shot quality. Our Grizzlies vs. Cavs prediction weighs whether either team’s interior rim protection can hold up over four quarters.
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💸 Compare Live Grizzlies vs Cavaliers Odds
Grizzlies vs. Cavs Odds: ML, Spread, Total
- Moneyline: Grizzlies +360 / Cavaliers -500
- Spread: Grizzlies +10.5 (-110) / Cavaliers -10.5 (-110)
- Total: 238.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
- Start Time: 5:00 PM ET (4:00 PM CT)
- Location: Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
- TV: NBA TV
Grizzlies vs. Cavs Matchup Breakdown
- Pace & Shot Profile: Memphis pushes early-clock threes and downhill drives, while Cleveland looks to push the pace as well. The Cavs (11th in offensive efficiency) live in the three-point range and rim areas; Memphis also shoots a lot of threes, sometimes at the expense of getting the ball into the paint.
- On-Ball Creation: The Grizzlies depend on Ja Morant’s pick-and-roll creation and secondary guard penetration, but turnovers spike when defenses load up the paint. Cleveland relies on Donovan Mitchell’s high-efficiency pick-and-roll reads and Evan Mobley’s isolation scoring. The Cavs produce more pick-and-roll points per chance and force more turnovers per game than the Grizzlies.
- Interior & Glass: Despite Jaren Jackson Jr. anchoring the back line, Memphis has subpar rim protection, and they are middling (13th in defensive rebounds per game) on the glass. Cleveland owns a clear rebounding advantage (8th in total rebounds per game) with Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen; second-chance point opportunities heavily favor the Cavs.
- Injury/Status: Memphis: Brandon Clarke, Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., and Javon Small are out. Zach Edey and Olivier-Maxence Prosper are questionable. Cedric Coward is doubtful. Cleveland: Darius Garland, Max Strus, and Jaylon Tyson are all out.
Standings Stakes & Betting Angles
- Memphis has lost 7 of their last 8 games, so they’re trying to get back on track. Cleveland has dropped 2 of their last 3 games (and gave up 126+ points in both losses), so they’re trying to right the ship and get back to playing championship level defense.
- Totals note: If Cleveland ramps up the defense, the game trends Under due to reduced efficiency and cumbersome half-court shot selection. But if Memphis’ three-point shooting variance spikes, the number can sail over 238.5 quickly. A move toward 236–237 would signal sharper Under interest.
Grizzlies vs. Cavs Prediction & Expert Pick
Pick: Cavaliers -10.5 (-110). Our Grizzlies vs. Cavs prediction leans on Cleveland’s interior rebounding edge, superior late-clock shot creation, and their 17-12-1 ATS record in non-conference games since the start of last season.
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