Under cashing when Heat play at home
The first of five NBA games on Christmas Day will feature the Pelicans traveling to Miami to take on the Heat at 12:00PM ET.
The under has been a profitable play for bettors when the Heat are at home this season. In their 18 games at American Airlines Arena this year, the under has hit in 11 games. That's a 61.1% clip.
Historically the over has been the better play when the Pelicans play the Heat, cashing in six of the last seven meetings. But Miami is a top 5 team defensively this season and have been suffocating opponents on that end of the court. Granted, New Orleans is 29th in defensive efficiency this season, but it could be difficult for the Pelicans to contribute to the over total offensively.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the over/under for today's game opened at 200 but has been bet down to 199. As for the side, the Heat opened as a 5-point favorite over the Pelicans and that's where the number currently sits.