Nuggets vs. Blazers Prediction
After two physical games in Denver, how will Game 3 play out tonight when the Portland Trail Blazers host the Denver Nuggets at 10:30PM ET in the Western Conference Semifinals?
587 Denver Nuggets vs. 588 Portland Trail Blazers
Friday, May 3, 2019
10:30PM ET – Moda Center
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Blazers are the favorite at home tonight, as they are getting odds of -4 points against the Nuggets. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 215 points. The public betting for the contest has 76 percent going on the Blazers as a home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Nuggets drop Game 2
Denver was unable to take the first two games of the series at home, losing Game 2 on Wednesday by a score of 97-90. The Nuggets have now failed to cover in three of their last four games. Denver is 59-32 overall, 21-23 on the road, 46-45 against the spread and 51-39-1 with the under.
The Nuggets couldn’t hit a shot to save their lives on Wednesday. Denver was just 34 of 98 from the field and 6 of 29 from 3-point land. They also were just 16 of 26 from the free-throw line. Nikola Jokic was held to just 16 points on 7 of 17 shooting, but he still had 14 rebounds and seven assists. Jamal Murray added 15 points with seven rebounds while Paul Millsap had 14 points and 11 boards.
Blazers even series
Portland bounced back from an 8-point loss in Game 1 by picking up a 7-point win on the road in Game 2 on Wednesday. The Blazers are now 58-31 on the season, 35-9 at home, 49-39-1 against the spread and 46-41-2 with the over.
The Blazers weren’t impressive on offense, but used strong defense to get the win in Game 2. Portland shot just 36 of 85 from the field and 9 of 29 from the arc. Damian Lillard had a quiet 14 points on 5 of 17 shooting, but CJ McCollum put up 20 points and six assists to lead the Blazers. Enes Kanter added 15 points with nine rebounds and two blocks. Rodney Hood also added 15 points off the bench.
NBA Betting Trends
Denver is 19-8-1 ATS in its last 28 against Northwest Division opponents, but just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games play on 1 day of rest.
The Blazers are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven Friday games and 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games on 1 day of rest.
The Blazers managed to get a win in Denver despite not shooting the ball well. Returning home, Portland should see an uptick in scoring. The Blazers are averaging nearly four points more per game at the Moda Center and they have scored 104 points ore more in their last five home games, including 115 at home against Denver back on April 7 in a 115-108 win. I think the Blazers offense will lead them today, as the Nuggets will continue to struggle with their shot away from home. I like the Blazers in this one.
NBA Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers -4