Mavericks vs. Pistons Prediction

NBA Predictions: Mavericks vs. Pistons to Play Under Betting Total? 4/6/18

Will the Dallas Mavericks and Detroit Pistons play under the betting total tonight in Detroit when the two teams meet at 7:00 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(503) Dallas Mavericks at (504) Detroit Pistons

Friday, April 6, 2018

7:00 p.m. ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager, the Pistons are now 7-point home favorites to beat the Mavericks, while the over/under currently sits at 203 points.

Bet This Matchup & Other NBA Games

LINE MOVEMENT

The Pistons opened as 7.5-point home favorites tonight against the Mavs but the line for this game was bet down to 7 at the majority of online sportsbooks. As for the total, it hit the board at 205.5 but was bet down to 203.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of this writing, the Pistons are receiving 66% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks while the over is receiving 77% of the betting tickets.

KEY INJURY TO WATCH

The Mavericks' injury report is long and extensive. Dennis Smith Jr. (knee) is questionable for tonight, while Dirk Nowitzki (ankle), J.J. Barea (oblique), Seth Curry (leg), and Wesley Matthews (leg) will be shut down for the rest of the year. For the Pistons, Blake Griffin (ankle) will miss the next 1-2 weeks with an ankle injury while Reggie Bullock (knee) and Jon Leuer (ankle) are out for the season.

BETTING STRATEGY

The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams and with the amount of firepower out on both sides, I don't expect this game to go over the total tonight. The under is also 4-1 in the Mavericks' last five games coming off a loss, is 5-2 in their last seven games, and is 9-3 in their last 12 road games versus an opponent with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. On the other side, the under is 8-2 in their last 10 games versus Western Conference foes, is 16-4-1 in their last 21 games versus Southwest opponents, and is 35-15-3 in their last 53 games coming off a loss.

 

OUR PREDICTION: MAVERICKS/PISTONS UNDER 203

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