Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction

Heat a good bet to cover as home fave vs. Pelicans? NBA Predictions 3/15/17

Are the Heat a good bet to cover the spread tonight against the Pelicans at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Heat are 6.5-point home favorites versus the Pelicans after opening as 6-point favorites. As for the total, the number hit the board at 208 and has been bet down to 206.5.

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New Orleans has dropped six of 10 games but did crush Portland last night as a 3.5-point favorite. The Pelicans are 5-4-1 against the spread over their last 10 games, are 33-33 against the number on the season, and are 16-16 against the spread on the road this year.

Miami has won seven of its last 10 games and is 8-2 against the spread during that time. They're now 40-26 against the number on the season, which includes a healthy home ATS record of 19-12 on the year.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six trips to Miami and are just 3-8 against the number in their last 11 games overall versus the Heat. The home team is also 9-4 against the spread in the last 13 meetings between these two teams while the Heat are 10-1-1 at the betting window in their last 12 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Miami is also 21-4-1 ATS in its last 26 games overall.

 

WEDNESDAY NBA PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT -6.5

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