Timberwolves vs. Raptors Free Pick
In what should be a high-scoring game tonight in Toronto, the Raptors will host the Timberwolves at 7:30PM ET.
Our NBA Odds Page shows that Toronto is a 9.5-point home favorite over Minnesota according to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv. As for the total, it opened at 212 and that’s where the number currently sits.
The Raptors are 37-18 on the year and 31-24 against the spread, but just 4-6 against the number over their last 10 games despite being 7-3 straight up over that same stretch. Minnesota, meanwhile, is 4-6 straight up and 5-5 against the spread over its last 10 games and 15-12 ATS on the road this season.
The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams in Toronto but with the way the over has cashed in recent Minnesota games, bettors should buck that trend.
The over is a perfect 7-0 in the Timberwolves’ last seven games when coming off a win and is 10-1 in their last 11 games when they covered the spread in their previous game. The over is 12-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 16 games as well and 15-5-1 in its last 21 road games. On the other side, the over is 6-2-1 in the Raptors’ last nine games overall and 4-1-1 in their last six games following a win.
The Timberwolves rank in the bottom half in the defensive efficiency but are 13th in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors rank sixth in that category. The over has plenty of value tonight.
WEDNESDAY NBA FREE PICK: TIMBERWOLVES/RAPTORS OVER 212