Twins vs. Yankees Prediction

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees, 10/4/19 Prediction & Odds

The New York Yankees will host the Minnesota Twins tonight in Game 1 of the ALDS. Will New York continue its tradition of dominating Minnesota in the postseason with a win in the series opener?

Game Snapshot

923 Minnesota Twins at 924 New York Yankees

Friday, October 4, 2019

Yankee Stadium at 7:07PM ET

TV: MLB Network

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Public Betting Information

According to oddsmakers, the Yankees are a -183 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Twins are a +173 underdog, while the total sits at 8.5 runs. As of Friday morning, 54 percent of public bets are siding with host New York. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest information.

Twins go with Berrios

Minnesota completed the regular season with a 101-61 overall record including 55-26 on the road. The Twins will send Jose Berrios to the mound tonight after he went 14-8 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.22 WHIP plus 195 strikeouts over 200 1/3 innings during the regular season. Nelson Cruz helps lead the Minnesota offense as he recorded a slash line of .311/.392/1.031 during the regular season. Also major contributed to the Twins offense are Mitch Garver (.273/.365/.995), Miguel Sano (.247/.346/.923), Max Kepler (.252/.336/.855) and Jorge Polanco (.295/.356/.841). Taylor Rogers (69IP, 90K, 2.61 ERA, 1.00 WHIP) anchors the bullpen.

Yankees turn to Paxton

New York went 103-59 overall and 57-24 at home during the regular season. Left-hander James Paxton draws the start tonight for the Yankees as he comes in with a 15-6 record, 3.82 ERA and 1.28 WHIP plus 186 strikeouts across 150 2/3 innings pitched. Aroldis Chapman highlights a strong bullpen as he registered a 2.21 ERA and 1.11 WHIP during the regular season with 85 strikeouts over 57 innings. Aaron Judge led the New York offense with a slash line of .272/.381/.921 over 378 at-bats. D.J. LeMahieu (.327/.375/.893), Gio Urshela (.314/355/889), Gleyber Torres (.278/.337/.871), Luke Voit (.263/.378/.842), Gary Sanchez (.232/.316/.841) and Brett Gardner (.251/325/.806) are also part of the powerful lineup.

MLB Betting Trends


The Twins are 6-1 in their last seven games overall. Minnesota is 0-6 in its last seven playoff road games. 

New York

The Yankees are 5-0 in the last five Paxton home starts. New York is 7-2 in its last nine playoff home games.


The Yankees have pummeled the Twins in previous playoff series', but I expect this one to go at least four if not five games. If Minnesota is to make it a series, a win here would be huge. Berrios has settled back in after a bit of a rought stretch, while I think the matchup against Paxton can be exploited as the Twins have some lefty mashers and will be playing in a home run haven. New York will probably get at least one win at home this weekend, but I love this opportunity for Minnesota to steal the opener.




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