Phillies vs. Reds Saturday Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds, 7/28/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies slipped on Friday night in Cincinnati, losing 6-4 to the host Reds. Will the Phillies rebound with a victory on Saturday evening or will the Reds pull off the upset?

Game Snapshot & Odds

903 Philadelphia Phillies (-130) at 904 Cincinnati Reds (+110); 9 runs

Saturday, July 28, 2018

6:40 p.m. ET, Great American Ball Park

TV: PHI (NBC 10); CIN (FSO)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Phillies as a -130 favorite. As of this writing, 65% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Velasquez dominates in victory over Padres

Vince Velazquez was dominant in Sunday's victory over the Padres, racking up seven strikeouts over seven shutout innings. The right-hander scattered just two hits (both of them singles) and walked one. He was in complete command throughout, needing just 87 pitches to blaze through seven innings. Now 6-8 on the season, Velasquez sports a 4.09 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 117/36 K/BB ratio across 101 1/3 innings on the year. He'll look to keep the good times going when he takes on the Reds in Cincinnati on Saturday.

Reds' Harvey rocked for four home runs in last start

Matt Harvey was rocked for eight runs in 3 2/3 innings on Sunday in a loss to the Pirates. Harvey gave up four homers in the loss, and he also allowed eight hits while striking out two. He didn’t walk anyone, if you’re desperate for positives. The former Met had been pitching well before this disaster, but today was a reminder that he’s still capable of having clunkers. This would definitely count as a clunker. It raises his ERA to 5.21, and he’ll take that ERA and a WHIP of 1.32 into his next scheduled start against the Phillies on Friday. That’s assuming he’s not dealt beforehand, of course.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies have won seven of their last 10 games versus the National League Central.

Cincinnati

The Reds are just 1-4 in their last five games following a win.

Prediction:

The Phillies have won four of their last five meetings with the Reds overall but are just 3-14 in their last 17 games played at Great American Ball Park. The Phillies are also just 3-7 in Velasquez's last 10 starts, are 4-9 in his last 13 road outings and are 2-6 when he starts on the road against a team with a losing record.

 

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds +110

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