Mets vs. Twins Prediction
The New York Mets held off the host Minnesota Twins last night in a series opener. Can Minnesota bounce back this afternoon to split the series?
Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Target Field at 1:10PM ET
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Twins are a -169 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Mets are a +159 underdog, while the over-under is set at 10.5 runs. As of Wednesday morning, 71 percent of public bets are siding with host Minnesota. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for up-to-date info.
Mets win third straight
New York recorded the final out with the bases loaded Tuesday night to hold on for a 3-2 win at Minnesota. Michael Conforto paced the Mets offensively as he was a perfect 4-for-4 with a run scored and an RBI. Amed Rosario finished 1-for-3 with a double and a run. Jeff McNeil ended the contest 1-for-4 with a run. Luis Avilan picked up the win in relief as he walked one over one scoreless inning. Edwin Diaz secured the save as he allowed two hits with one strikeout and one walk over one frame. Jason Vargas draws the start today as he comes in with a 4-5 record, 4.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP with 64 strikeouts over 76 2/3 innings.
Twins fall short at home
Minnesota left the bases full in the ninth inning Tuesday night as it lost 3-2 at home against New York. Jonathan Schoop helped lead the Twins offense as he was 1-for-2 with a solo home run plus a walk. Eddie Rosario finished 2-for-4 with a run scored. Marwin Gonzalez ended the contest 2-for-5. Michael Pineda took the loss as he gave up three runs (one earned) on six hits with three strikeouts and no walks over six innings. Martin Perez will start this afternoon for Minnesota as he enters with an 8-3 record, 4.26 ERA and 1.37 WHIP with 85 strikeouts over 95 innings.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 5-2 in their last seven interleague games. New York is 11-27 in its last 38 road games.
The Twins are 36-17 in their last 53 home games. Minnesota is 2-7 in its last nine games versus the NL East.
Neither pitcher is necessarily trustworthy, but Vargas has mostly trended positively over the last couple of months although his last start was poor. Perez on the other hand has struggled since a strong April. I think this is another spot where the Mets can take advantage of the opposing pitcher and get a win, although it's bullpen is a bit taxed so Vargas might be required to pitch into the seventh inning. Regardless, I'm taking a shot on New York here.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: NEW YORK METS +159