Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Thursday Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins, 6/28/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins wrap up their four-game series at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday. The over has been a hot bet when Zack Greinke pitches but will that be the case again today?

Game Snapshot & Odds

951 Arizona Diamondbacks (-167) at 952 Miami Marlins (+143); 7 runs

Thursday, June 28, 2018

12:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: ARI (FSAZ); MIA (FSFL)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Diamondbacks as a -167 favorite. As of this writing, 81% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Diamondbacks to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Diamondbacks' Greinke strikes out seven in six shutout innings

Zack Greinke struck out seven batters while firing six shutout innings to beat the Pirates on Saturday. He allowed just three baserunners -- two base hits and one hit batsman -- without issuing a base-on-balls in the ballgame. He went 1-for-3 at the plate and scored a run and now has a .703 OPS on the season as a batter. Greinke improves to 7-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 16 starts. He has amassed 102 strikeouts against 19 walks in 96 innings.

Marlins' Richards strikes out eight in win over Rockies

Trevor Richards struck out eight batters and allowed just one run in six innings to earn a win over the Rockies on Saturday. The outing was extra impressive considering it came in Coors Field. Richards gave up only three hits and two walks and most importantly kept the ball in the yard. The only run he surrendered came on a sacrifice fly by Gerardo Parra. Richards improves to 2-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.43 WHIP after nine starts.

MLB Betting Trends

Arizona

The Diamondbacks have won four of Greinke's last five starts.

Miami

The Marlins are just 5-21 in their last 26 games played on Thursday.

Prediction:

Despite last night's low-scoring game, I like the over in this spot today. In Greinke's last five starts, the over is a perfect 5-0. The over is also 6-2 in Greinke's last eight road outings and has cashed for bettors at a 7-2-1 clip over the Marlins' last 10 games. Finally, the over is 7-2 in Tom Hallion's last nine games behind home plate.

 

The Pick: Diamondbacks/Marlins over 7

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