Reds vs. Cardinals Sunday Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals, 4/28/2019 Predictions & Odds

After splitting the first two games of their series at Busch Stadium, which NL Central rival will come through on Sunday when the Reds visit the Cardinals at 2:15 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

959 Cincinnati Reds (+120) at 960 St. Louis Cardinals (-141); 7.5 runs

Sunday, April 28, 2019

2:15 p.m. ET, Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 69% of the betting tickets are on the Cardinals to beat the Reds on the moneyline.

Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin

Jesse Winker went 2-for-3 with a double and a run scored in a loss to the Cardinals on Saturday. Winker also walked, so he reached three times in the loss. The outfielder was hitting just .172 on April 21, but he's seen that average jump up to .238 after this effort, and his OPS is .827. If someone was impatient and dropped Winker, you should make that person pay for that decision.

St. Louis Cardinals Fantasy Spin

Marcell Ozuna went 2-for-5 with a homer and five RBI in a 6-3 victory over the Reds on Saturday. Ozuna also doubled, and it was a two-run two-bagger that gave the Cardinals a 5-2 lead in the fifth. The homer was a three-run shot off of Tyler Mahle that gave St. Louis their first lead of the game, and it's already the 10th of the season for the outfielder. The 28-year-old is enjoying an excellent start of the season offensively with a 1.019 OPS over 89 at-bats. He's looking -- or should be, anyway -- at a big payday coming in 2020.

MLB Betting Trends

Cincinnati

The Reds are 16-37 in their last 53 road games.

St. Louis

The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and 6-1 in their last seven home games.

Prediction:

This is a good pitching matchup but after getting burned by the over yesterday when I believed the pitching matchup was good enough to cash the under, I’m going to take the Cardinals. Their money line price (-141) isn’t outrageous and while Gray has pitched well through his first 24 2/3 innings with the Reds, this is a tough St. Louis lineup. Meanwhile, Jack Flaherty has to do a better job of keeping the ball in the yard but his 5.25 ERA is due to his inflated .350 BABIP (which indicates he’s been unlucky). With a 3.09 xFIP, Flaherty is due for some positive regression sooner rather than later.

The Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -141

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