Yankees vs. Astros Wednesday Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros, 4/10/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Yankees will look to salvage one game in Houston tonight when they wrap up their series with the Astros at 7:40 p.m. ET. Listed as a small underdog, will the Bombers come through with James Paxton on the hill?

Game Snapshot & Odds

969 New York Yankees (+104) at 970 Houston Astros (-125); 8 runs

Wednesday, April 10, 2019

7:40 p.m. ET, Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 55% of the betting tickets are on the Yankees to beat the Astros on the moneyline.

New York Yankees Fantasy Spin

Luke Voit hit his third home run of the season in Tuesday's loss to the Astros. Voit turned around a Gerrit Cole delivery in the first inning for his third homer of the season. He's shown a propensity for those, but bunches of hits have been harder to come by -- through Tuesday, Voit is hitting .195/.340/.415 without a multi-hit game to his credit this year. Greg Bird isn't hitting much, either, but on a team as talented as the Yankees, Voit doesn't have the luxury to struggle for long.

Houston Astros Fantasy Spin

Jose Altuve went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI in a 6-3 win over the Yankees on Tuesday. Hard-throwing Yanks youngster Jonathan Loaisiga learned a lesson about fastball placement, and Altuve caught up with a 96-mph heater up in the zone and smashed it into the Crawford Boxes for a solo shot in the third inning. He also added a sacrifice fly RBI later in the game. Altuve has now hit safely in six of his last seven games to raise his season line to .298/.346/.532 with three homers and a stolen base.

MLB Betting Trends

New York

The Yankees have lost 11 of their last 12 games when they play the third game of a series.

Houston

The Astros have won 18 of their last 24 home games and are 39-18 in their last 57 games dating back to last season.

Prediction:

I’m going to take a shot on Paxton, who’s 3.78 ERA is actually worse than his 2.96 SIERA, indicating that he’s been better than what his ERA shows. He owns a 32.1% strikeout rate, which is elite, and has walked just 6.5% of the batters that he faces, which is also excellent. While he draws a difficult matchup tonight against Houston’s lineup, Paxton generates a 14.4% swinging strike rate so he should keep the Yankees in this game. If New York can grab a lead, its bullpen is one of the best in baseball. The Bombers are worth a flier as an underdog.

The Pick: New York Yankees +104

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