Last Updated on December 21, 2013 4:16 pm by carlossalazar
Bowl Game & NFL Week 16 Trends
LAS VEGAS, NV (The Spread) – Are you tired of handicapping from hunches? Trend plays can be a profitable way of making some money if they lean towards your side.
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For example, last week, the trend plays from this column went 2-0-1.There are four college football bowl games this weekend along with a full NFL schedule. There are also some great values in these trends.
When you play trends and angles, make sure you take a delve into each matchup by checking out the logs, injuries and weather. When there are numerous trends that support one side and go against the other, trends can be a helpful tool in accordance to your typical handicapping for a game.
So let’s take a brief look at some key matchups this weekend where trends are prominent on one side and are negative on the other.
Saturday, December 21
Las Vegas Bowl
Sun Boyd Stadium
Fresno State vs. Southern California (-6.5)
Fresno State is:
16-5 lastĀ 21 against the spread playing on a Saturday.Ā
16-6 against theĀ spread the last 22 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in theirĀ previous game.Ā
7-3 against the spreadĀ the last 10 after allowing less than 20 points in their previousĀ game.
Southern California is:
1-8 against theĀ spread last 9 in road games on a SaturdayĀ
2-5 against the spreadĀ the last 7 vs. Mountain West Conference.Ā
1-7 against the spreadĀ the last 8 non-conference games.Ā
2-6 against the spreadĀ the last 8 following a double-digit loss at home.Ā
2-5 against the spreadĀ the last 7 in December.
Go with Fresno State over USC
Idaho Potato Bowl
Bronco Stadium, Boise, Id.
Buffalo vs. San Diego State (-1.5)
Buffalo is:
7-1 against the spread last 8 onĀ fieldturf.Ā
7-2 againstĀ the spread last 9 overall.Ā
5-2 againstĀ the spread the last 7 after scoring less than 20 points in their previousĀ game.Ā
7-2 againstĀ the spread the last 9 after allowing more than 450 total yards in theirĀ previous game.
San Diego State is:
1-6 againstĀ the spread against non-conference foes.Ā
1-4 againstĀ the spread last 5 in December.
10-22 againstĀ the spread after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4Ā games.
Go with Buffalo over San Diego State
Saturday, December 22
NFL
Dallas (-3) at Washington
Dallas is:
1-4 against the spread the last 5 vs. NFC.Ā
1-6 against the spread the last 7 in WeekĀ 16.Ā
8-21 against the spread the last 29 inĀ December.Ā
4-13 against the spread the last 17 afterĀ allowing more than 350 total yards in their previousĀ game.
Washington is:
6-2 against the spread the last 8 inĀ December.Ā
Underdog is 23-8 against the spread the last 31 inĀ this series.Ā
6-1 against the spread the last 7 in thisĀ series.Ā
6-2 against the spread the last 8 at home in thisĀ series
Go with Washington over Dallas
Denver (-10.5) vs. Houston
Denver is:
16-5 against the spread in games played on a grassĀ field.Ā
5-0 against the spread the last 5 following a SUĀ loss.Ā
6-1 against the spread last 7 inĀ December.Ā
7-1 against the spread the last 8 after accumulatingĀ less than 90 yards rushing in their previous gameĀ
7-2 against the spread vs. a team with a losingĀ record.
Houston is:
2-8 against the spread against conferenceĀ opponents.Ā
1-4 against the spread following a SUĀ loss.Ā
1-5 against the spread the last 6 in WeekĀ 16.Ā
3-7 against the spread the last 10 following an ATSĀ loss.Ā
3-12 against the spread the last 15Ā overall.Ā
3-12 against the spread their last 15 following a SUĀ loss of more than 14 points.
Go with Denver over Houston
Good luck with your handicapping this weekend, your bowl pools and college selections!
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