Orioles vs. Nationals Prediction
Are the Nationals a safe play on the runline tonight for bettors when they host the Orioles at 7:05PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Nationals are -155 money line favorites versus the Orioles, who have odds of +140 to pull off the upset tonight in D.C. With Wade Miley set to take on Tanner Roark in the pitching matchup, the over/under for tonight's game sits at 8.5 runs.
BALTIMORE: Miley took the no-decision against the Astros last Friday but was hit hard in the process, allowing six runs on six hits in just 1 2/3 innings of work. Out of the six outs he did get, five came via the strikeout and he didn't walk a batter so there was some positives to take out of the game. He now owns a 5.58 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP on the season.
WASHINGTON: Roark earned a quality start in a no-decision against the Braves last Friday, allowing three runs on four hits over 6 1/3 innings pitched. He walked three and struck out three in the game while holding the Braves scoreless through the first five innings until Ender Inciarte took him deep with a two-run home run in the sixth inning. He now has a 2.87 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP across 163 1/3 innings this season.
OUR PICK: After back-to-back losses in Baltimore, it's time for the Nationals to do some damage at home. They're 6-1 in Roark's lat seven home starts and are 14-3 in his last 17 starts overall. They're also a perfect 6-0 when Roark is coming off four days of rest, are 10-1 in his last 11 starts following a quality start in his last appearance, and are 4-1 in his last five outings versus a team with a winning record.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PICK: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5 (+135)