[garbageman]

Ive been tweaking the model again, lets see how it does tonight…

WKU at Delaware| WKU 34–27 | 62% W | WKU +2.5 → 63% | 61 pts → Under 52% | WKU -130 / WKU -3.5 | Med

Charlotte at USF | USF 45–13 | 95% U | USF -27.5 → 58% | 58 pts → Over 55% | USF -1900 / USF -28.5 | Med

New Mexico at San José State | SJSU 31–28 | 56% S | SJSU -2.5 → 51% | 59 pts → Over 52% | SJSU -125 / SJSU -1.5 | Low-Med

West Virginia at #23 BYU | BYU 27–7 | 88% B | BYU -19.5 → 52% | 34 pts → Under 64% | BYU -730 / BYU -17.5 | Med

Colorado State at San Diego State | SDSU 23–16 | 65% S | SDSU -5.5 → 53% | 39 pts → Under 55% | SDSU -185 / SDSU -4.5 | Med

Key:

* Win% = model win probability for listed winner
* Cover vs Line = probability of covering current market line
* Fair ML/Spread = price & spread implied by our model
* Conf = overall model confidence in the pick

Top Drivers (condensed):

* WKU>DEL: WKU pass O vs DEL step-up pass D; neutral weather.
* CLT>USF: USF explosiveness gap; pace; home field.
* UNM>SJSU: QB duel → volatility; slight home edge SJSU.
* WVU>BYU: BYU run D + ground game; lower total.
* CSU>SDSU: SDSU defensive edge; slower, lower-total script.

— For informational and educational purposes only; not betting advice.
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## Option B) **Markdown (Reddit/Discourse/GitHub)**

[garbageman]

Results 6-4, slight improvement. Will keep tweaking, no time today, more picks next week, shooting for 80%

Wins
WKU
SJST
SJST / NM OVER
USF
USF OVER
SDST

Losses
WKU/DEL UNDER
BYU
BYU UNDER
SDST UNDER

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