Gustafsson vs. Johnson Free Pick

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STOCKHOLM, Sweden (The Spread) – Alexander Gustafsson can earn a title shot in the light heavyweight division if he can get past Anthony Johnson tonight. Can he do it?

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Gustafsson (16-2) is a talented and diverse striker that took the UFC champ, Jon Jones, to the limit in a five-round decision loss in September of 2013. Gus can earn a rematch with Jones if he takes out Johnson (18-4), who has won eight straight, including a win over Phil Davis, a man that Gustafsson lost to. Johnson is a very strong and powerful man that can score a KO with one punch or one kick.

The latest odds according to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv have Gustafsson as the favorite in this bout, as he is getting odds of -285 to win, while Johnson is getting a money line of +225 to prevail. These two will meet in the main event tonight from Stockhom. The main card airs on FOX at 8PM ET.

The key to this fight could be the fact it is a scheduled five-round bout. Gustafsson has been in those deep waters before, while Johnson has always struggled with conditioning as a fight has went on. The longer this fight goes, the more if favors Gus. Johnson might be able to finish Gus in the early rounds, but Gustafsson’s footwork and movement makes him very difficult to hit. With a very vocal crowd behind him, look for Gustafsson to overwhelm Johnson in the final rounds and score a TKO victory.

UFC ON FOX FREE PICK: Alexander Gustafsson -285

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