CINCINNATI, OH (The Spread) – East Carolina is a small favorite tonight on the road versus Cincinnati but the recent trends favor the Bearcats for tonight’s 7:00PM ET game.

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bearcats are 1-point home underdogs versus the Pirates while the over/under for tonight’s game is currently sitting at 71.5 points.

LINE MOVEMENT: East Carolina opened as a 2.5-point favorite but the number has been falling as we approach kickoff. Now the Pirates are just a 1.5 or 1-point favorite, depending on which sports book you view, while the over/under has jumped from 69.5 up to 71.5.

SEASON RECORDS: The Pirates enter play with a 6-2 record but they’re just 4-4 against the spread this season while the under is 5-3 in their eight games this season. On the other side, the Bearcats are 5-3 overall and 4-4 against the number, while the under is also 5-3 in their eight games this season.

NCAA FREE PICK: Take Cincinnati. According to latest college football trends, the home team is 7-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these two teams while the Pirates are 0-4 against the number in their last four road games versus the Bearcats. ECU is also 0-4 ATS in its last four games, 1-5 ATS in its last six Thursday games and 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a bye week. On the other side, the Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games in November, 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games.

2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 10 FREE PICK: CINCINNATI BEARCATS +1

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