(The Spread) – A pair of 4-2 teams will square off at ASU Stadium tonight when Arkansas State hosts Florida International at 8:00PM ET.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL: The Golden Panthers enter this game with a 4-2 record and are 3-3 against the spread this season. They’re 1-1 on the road and the under has hit in three of their six games this year with one push. The under is also 0-2 in both of their road games this season as Kedrick Rhodes leads the team with six touchdowns and 526 rushing yards.
ARKANSAS STATE: The Red Wolves also enter this game with a 4-2 record overall but are 5-1 against the spread this season. They’re a perfect 2-0 at home and the under has hit in five of their six games this season. Dwayne Frampton leads the team with four touchdowns and 6-6 receiving yards.
ODDS/LINE MOVEMENT: The line opened between 3 and 3.5 at most books and has settled in at Arkansas State –3. There doesn’t appear to be much line movement, which isn’t surprising due to the public’s unfamiliarity with these two teams.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE PICK: Take the Red Wolves. According to latest college football trends, Arkansas State is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last five October games and 6-2 ATS in their lat eight games as a favorite. The Golden Panthers, meanwhile, are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of between 3.5 and 10 points and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games in October. Look for Arkansas State and its 28th ranked offense to step up on national television in front of its home crowd.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 FREE PICK: ARKANSAS STATE –3