While scrolling down the list of games today, you may have decided to pass on the LA-Lafayette-Georgia game due to its high spread.
But it’s time to take another look.
The Bulldogs will hold star receiver A.J. Green out of Saturday’s opener because of an NCAA investigation over whether or not the wideout violated rules by interacting with an agent.
Granted, the Dawgs still has a ton of offensive firepower but they just took 109 career receptions, 1,771 yards and 14 touchdowns out of their lineup. That’s huge when you consider some of the trends for this game.
First and foremost, UGA is only 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Sun Belt Conference. They’re also 1-4 ATS in their last five games in September and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.
On the other side, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
Now, one player doesn’t make or break an entire football team, unless we’re talking about the quarterback position. But Green is a major offensive weapon for the Bulldogs in their passing game, so they may choose to keep the ball on the ground.
Consider these under trends:
- The under is 5-0 in the Bulldogs last 5 non-conference games
- The under is 4-1-1 in the Bulldogs last 6 home games
- The under is 4-1 in the Ragin’ Cajuns last 5 games overall
Oddsmakers from online sports book BroburySports.com have made Georgia a 28-point favorite. With Green out and the total sitting at 51 for today’s game, I like the under.