Oregon takes on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in the NCAA tournament Friday and Dave Price says the Ducks will cover the spread. Oddmakers from online sportsbook Bodog opened the line at Mississippi State -2, but the line has since risen to Mississippi State –2.5.
Price writes: I think Oregon is the better team here from a better conference. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Ducks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games on the other hand and are coming off a regional final appearance in last year's tourney. Mississippi State is only 2-11 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a favorite since 1997. The Bulldogs come in having lost 3 in a row ATS and I don't see them fully recovering from a devastating loss to Georgia in the SEC tourney. Take the points.
Public betting information currently shows that of the 22,232 wagers placed on tonight’s game, 61% of bettors favor Mississippi State –2.5. Accuscore agrees with the public and has made Pittsburgh an 81% favorite over Oral Roberts.
Oregon’s top three scorers are Maarty Leunen (14.8 points per game, 3.0 assists and 10.6 rebounds), Malik Hairston (13.9 points per game, 2.2 assists and 5.3 rebounds) and Tajuan Porter (12.8 points per game, 2.4 assists and 2.3 rebounds). Mississippi State’s top three scoeres are Charles Rhodes (20.8 points per game, 1.4 assists and 8.3 rebounds), Jamont Gordon (17.7 points per game, 5.4 assists and 6.2 rebounds) and Barry Stewart (11.1 points per game, 2.8 assists and 4.9 rebounds).
Some trends to consider:
-MISSISSIPPI ST is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
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