5/25/09 NBA Playoff Free Pick: Lakers at Nuggets Game 4

Last Updated on May 25, 2009 12:00 pm by Anthony Rome

After their 103-97 victory over the Nuggets in Denver on Friday night, the Los Angeles Lakers look to take a commanding lead in the Western Conference Finals with a win on Memorial Day.

Bet on the Lakers at Nuggets

Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.COM have made the Nuggets 4.5-point favorites despite being down 2-1 to the Lakers in their best of seven series. The over/under total for this game has been set at 208.5.

Before their loss on Friday night, the Nuggets had covered 12 straight games. But after being 3.5-point favorites entering their game with the Lakers, Denver was soundly beat 103-97 on their home floor.

The Lakers are 5-3 against the spread versus Denver over the last three seasons and 14-13 against the number vs. the Nuggets since 1996. Also, 7 of 8 games in this series have gone under the total over the last three seasons.

We expect the Nuggets to bounce back on their home floor tonight, but weโ€™re not crazy about giving up 4.5 points. That said, weโ€™ll go with the trends in this series and suggest taking the UNDER 208.5 in Game 4 and stay away from the spread.

Our free pick for this Game 4 playoff game is the UNDER 208.5.

Bet on the Lakers at Nuggets

Posted: 5/25/09 12:00PM ET