The Connecticut Sun close their 2026 regular season on the road against the Las Vegas Aces on Thursday night, and the betting market has drawn a wide gap between these two teams. Las Vegas sits third in the Western Conference at 24-13 and opens as a heavy home favorite, while Connecticut arrives at 9-25 and near the bottom of the league. The number is large, the total has already moved, and there is a live situational angle worth unpacking. Our best bet and total lean are saved for the analysis below.
Last Updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces — Time & How to Watch
| Where | Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas, NV |
| When | Thursday, August 20 – 10:00 PM ET |
| TV | WNBA League Pass (NBC Sports Boston) |
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
Las Vegas enters on a rare rough patch. The Aces have dropped two in a row, falling to Minnesota and then getting run 97-82 by the Atlanta Dream, and their defense slipped in both losses. Even so, this is a team built around A’ja Wilson, the four-time MVP and the 2026 MVP frontrunner. She is averaging about 26 points and nearly 10 rebounds a night, and she just posted 27 points, 14 rebounds and four blocks in her most recent outing. Guard Dana Evans is out with a leg injury, but Las Vegas still carries far more top-end talent than almost anyone it faces.
Connecticut, by contrast, has spent the season near the bottom of the standings. The Sun snapped back with an 85-77 home win over the Los Angeles Sparks on Tuesday. However, that came after a 69-104 blowout loss to Atlanta and a lopsided defeat in Dallas. Both Brittney Griner (knee) and Aaliyah Edwards (ankle) are listed as questionable, which would thin an already short rotation. Las Vegas won both earlier meetings this season, each by a comfortable margin, behind big scoring nights from Wilson.
There is a scheduling wrinkle that matters here. This is the final game of the regular season for both teams, and Las Vegas has already clinched a playoff berth. That raises a fair question about how many minutes Becky Hammon gives her front-line starters in a game with nothing left to settle. Connecticut has no such calculus and will play it straight to close the year.
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | +14 (-105) | +700 | U 165.5 (-110) |
| Aces | -14 (-115) | -1200 | O 165.5 (-110) |
Odds accurate as of Thursday, August 20, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest WNBA Odds – Futures – Props
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces — Who Is the Public Betting?
| Sun | 52% | 48% | Aces |
See the latest WNBA Public Betting Splits and make smarter wagers!
Sun vs. Aces Prediction — Can the Sun Stay Within Striking Distance?
The case for laying the points with Las Vegas is straightforward. The Aces are the more talented team at nearly every position, they are at home, and they handled Connecticut twice already this season by comfortable margins. The Sun rank among the league’s least efficient offenses and have been blown out more than once in recent weeks, including a 35-point loss to Atlanta. When Las Vegas is fully engaged, a double-digit cover sits well within range.
The case against is the situation. A team on a two-game losing streak, playing its final regular-season game with a playoff spot already secured, is a classic spot for uneven effort and early rest for stars. A large number is a steep price to lay in a WNBA game, where wide spreads cover at a lower rate than casual bettors expect. Connecticut also showed some fight in its home win over the Sparks. The public split reflects that uncertainty. Spread tickets are nearly even, with a slight lean toward the visitors taking the points.
In a get-away game against a heavy favorite, the points and the situation line up on the same side. We would rather have the cushion than lay it here.
The Pick: Connecticut Sun +14 (-105)
Sun vs. Aces Prediction — Will the Scoreboard Stay Quiet in the Desert?
The total tells its own story. This number opened at 170.5 and has been bet down to 165.5, a five-point move that points squarely at the Under. Connecticut owns one of the league’s least productive offenses and has been held in the 60s more than once this month. If Las Vegas empties its bench early or leans on its half-court sets, the pace can stall out in a hurry. Our recent look at the Sun’s home win over the Sparks showed the same low-scoring tendencies.
The other side is real. Las Vegas averages better than 90 points per game, and its defense has leaked during this skid, surrendering 92 and then 97. If Wilson stays on the floor and the Aces push tempo, they can push toward the number on their own. Still, the market’s move and Connecticut’s scoring struggles tilt this toward the lower-scoring outcome.
The Pick: Under 165.5 (-110)
Final Thoughts and Bonus Angle
If you are hunting a bonus angle, the moneyline is not it. Las Vegas at -1200 asks you to risk far too much for a small return, and Connecticut at +700 is a live price only if you believe the Aces truly coast through this finale. The more interesting exposure is the total, where the market has already tipped its hand. Wilson remains the safest name on the floor to fill a box score, so her rebounding and shot-blocking numbers are worth a look in the prop market if her minutes hold up. For a similar read on a big Vegas number, see our recent Aces betting breakdown.
To recap our picks: Connecticut Sun +14 (-105) on the spread, and Under 165.5 (-110) on the total. Both lean on the same read. A scuffling favorite in a low-stakes finale should keep this closer and lower-scoring than the headline number suggests.
WNBA Sun vs. Aces FAQ: Thursday August 20, 2026
What time does the Sun vs. Aces game start?
The Connecticut Sun tip off against the Las Vegas Aces at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, August 20, 2026. It is the final regular-season game on the schedule for both teams.
What channel is the Sun vs. Aces game on?
The game streams on WNBA League Pass, with a local broadcast on NBC Sports Boston for Connecticut viewers. There is no national television window for this particular matchup, so League Pass is the primary way to watch.
Where are the Sun and Aces playing today?
The game is played at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Las Vegas is the home team, and Connecticut travels in as the road side to close out its regular season.
Where do the Sun and Aces stand in the WNBA standings?
Las Vegas enters at 24-13, third in the Western Conference and already qualified for the playoffs. Connecticut sits at 9-25, seventh in the Eastern Conference and near the bottom of the league standings.
What is the season series record between the Sun and Aces?
Las Vegas leads the 2026 season series and won both earlier meetings, each by a comfortable margin. Thursday’s game is the third and final regular-season matchup between the two teams.