Dollar Tree 301 odds have Ryan Blaney on top of the board at +450 as the NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway on Sunday, August 23. Blaney won this race a year ago and now carries the shortest price in a full 36-car field. The Magic Mile is also the second-to-last stop of the regular season. Below is a read of the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 odds from top to bottom.
Last Updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
2026 Dollar Tree 301 — Time & How to Watch
| Where | New Hampshire Motor Speedway, Loudon, NH |
| When | Sunday, August 23 – 3:00 PM ET |
| TV | USA Network |
2026 Dollar Tree 301 Betting Preview
New Hampshire is a 1.058-mile oval with almost no banking. The corners sit between two and seven degrees, the straightaways at one. That makes the Magic Mile a braking and mechanical-grip puzzle rather than a horsepower track. Tire fall-off and restart execution usually decide it.
The race runs 301 laps for 318.46 miles. Stage one ends on lap 70, stage two on lap 185, and the final stage covers the remaining 116. Track position carries real weight. Historically, top-10 starters have accounted for roughly 55 percent of New Hampshire winners, and the pole alone for about 11 percent. That makes Saturday qualifying a bigger input here than at most tracks.
Last year’s race explains much of the current board. Blaney led 116 laps, including the final 39, and held off Josh Berry by under a second. Joe Gibbs Racing has also owned this venue in the Next Gen era, sweeping every stage across the three races run here since 2022. The calendar is doing its own work as well. Only two races remain before the Chase field locks at Daytona, so the mid-board is stacked with drivers who need a win. Joey Logano arrives off a win at Richmond and has climbed from 20th to ninth in points. Our 2026 Cook Out 400 odds breakdown covers how the same names priced up last week.
2026 Dollar Tree 301 — Top Odds to Win
| Name | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | +450 |
| Christopher Bell | +500 |
| Denny Hamlin | +600 |
| Joey Logano | +600 |
| Chase Briscoe | +900 |
| Josh Berry | +1200 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1200 |
| Kyle Larson | +1400 |
| Chase Elliott | +1800 |
| William Byron | +2000 |
Odds accurate as of Wednesday, August 19, 2026 via TheSpread.com. Odds change, get the latest NASCAR Odds – Props
2026 Dollar Tree 301 Odds: Ryan Blaney Favored at +450
Blaney at +450 is the shortest price on the board, and the case is direct. He is the defending winner here and sits second in the standings behind Hamlin. He also has two wins in 2026, at Phoenix and EchoPark Speedway, and led 88 laps at Richmond last weekend. That is the flat-track profile that travels to Loudon.
The vulnerability is the number itself. At +450, the implied probability is roughly 18 percent in a 36-car race where track position often decides the finish. Qualifying does not run until Saturday, so the market is pricing him without knowing his starting spot. Two wins in 24 starts is also a modest strike rate for the shortest number in the field.
Christopher Bell at +500 is the reason Blaney is not shorter. Bell owns two Cup wins at New Hampshire, in 2022 and 2024, and leads active drivers in laps led here. However, he is also the most conspicuous winless driver in the series, with seven runner-up finishes in 2026. The market is split between an elite track record and a closing record that has not matched it. Hamlin and Logano share the next rung at +600. Hamlin leads active drivers with three wins here and tops the standings by 115 points. Logano has two New Hampshire wins and two victories in the last four races.
Dollar Tree 301 Mid-Board Contender Odds
The middle of the board holds the season’s strangest story. Tyler Reddick is fourth in points and won five of the first nine races, yet he is priced 12th at +2500. The reason is his summer. Since June he has posted six finishes of 25th or worse, and a crash three laps into the Iowa race dropped him from second to fourth.
William Byron at +2000 is the last name inside the board’s top 10. He is winless in 2026 and outside the top 10 in points, which explains the price more than his equipment does. Hendrick Motorsports has not been the New Hampshire benchmark in the Next Gen era.
Brad Keselowski at +5000 carries the strongest venue résumé in this tier, with two wins and four poles at New Hampshire across 25 starts. What he lacks is current speed, and he is winless on the season. His RFK teammate Chris Buescher sits at +6600 despite running 10th in the standings. That gap is the clearest case on this board of a driver the market rates lower than the points do.
Dollar Tree 301 Long Shot Odds on the Board
Connor Zilisch at +20000 is the most interesting name at the long end. The Trackhouse rookie drives the No. 88 in his first full Cup season, and flat short tracks reward repetition he does not have yet. Trackhouse has produced three wins in 2026, however, so equipment is not the limiter at that number.
AJ Allmendinger at +25000 sits in the Kaulig Racing No. 16 and has run outside the championship conversation all season. A caution-heavy, track-position scramble is the version of this race where a driver at that number is still on the lead lap late.
Austin Hill at +50000 is a true flier. He is in the Richard Childress Racing No. 33 for the rest of 2026 and is ineligible for Cup Series driver points. All 36 chartered teams are entered with no open cars, so the long end of this board is full-time equipment throughout.
The Last Word on the 2026 Dollar Tree 301 Odds
Two forces shape this board in the same direction. Joe Gibbs Racing and Team Penske have owned New Hampshire in the Next Gen era, and both are carrying the strongest current form. That is why those two teams hold four of the five shortest prices.
Saturday qualifying is the next real input. Top-10 starters produce most winners here. A poor time trial from a short price should stretch that number, and a front-row run from a mid-board driver should shorten one. Watch the Chase math too. Drivers on the outside have one conventional-track shot left before a superspeedway decides the rest, and that pressure tends to widen outcomes. Our Cook Out 400 preview tracks the same group at Richmond.
NASCAR Dollar Tree 301 FAQ: Sunday August 23, 2026
Who is the favorite to win the Dollar Tree 301?
Ryan Blaney is the favorite at +450. The Team Penske driver won this race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway last year, leading 116 laps, and he sits second in the 2026 Cup Series standings. Christopher Bell is next at +500, followed by Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano at +600.
What time does the Dollar Tree 301 start?
The Dollar Tree 301 is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 23, 2026, at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in Loudon. Cup Series practice and qualifying run the day before, on Saturday, August 22, with practice beginning at 10:30 a.m. ET and qualifying at 11:35 a.m. ET.
What channel is the Dollar Tree 301 on?
The Dollar Tree 301 airs on USA Network. Radio coverage comes from the Performance Racing Network and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio, and the NASCAR weekend schedule lists Saturday qualifying on TruTV.
How many laps is the Dollar Tree 301?
The Dollar Tree 301 runs 301 laps around the 1.058-mile New Hampshire Motor Speedway oval, a total distance of 318.46 miles. The race is split into three stages. Stage one ends on lap 70, stage two ends on lap 185, and the final stage covers the remaining 116 laps.
Who won the New Hampshire Cup Series race last year?
Ryan Blaney won the 2025 Cup Series race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on September 21, 2025. He led 116 laps, including the final 39, and beat Josh Berry to the line by 0.937 seconds. Blaney is both the defending winner and the current betting favorite.