Sam Darnold Super Bowl LX Prop Predictions & Odds

Last Updated on February 6, 2026 8:50 am by Anthony Rome

Sam Darnold making an appearance in the Super Bowl wasn’t on many preseason bingo cards, but here we are. Seattle’s offense has leaned into Darnold’s strengths all season — rhythm throws, play-action shots, and smart game management — and that exact formula is what got the Seahawks to Super Bowl LX against New England. From a betting perspective, that creates a fascinating prop profile: Darnold doesn’t need to be flashy to cash tickets, he just needs to be efficient.

Let’s break down the best Sam Darnold prop angles and finish with some predictions.

Super Bowl LX Betting Odds & Game Info

📅 Date / Time: Sunday, February 8, 2026 — 6:30 p.m. ET
📍 Venue: Levi’s Stadium — Santa Clara, California
📺 TV / Streaming: NBC / Peacock / NFL App / Telemundo

🏈 Latest Odds (as of Feb. 6)

• Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5

• Moneyline: Seahawks approx. –223 | Patriots approx. +203

• Total (Over/Under): ≈ 45.5 points

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop

Projected line: 230.5 passing yards

This is the classic Super Bowl inflation spot. Darnold has hovered in the low-to-mid 230s most of the postseason, but books know bettors expect volume in the Big Game. New England’s defense is disciplined and disguises coverage well, which often leads to shorter throws and fewer explosive plays. Seattle is also comfortable leaning on Kenneth Walker III to keep things balanced.

Darnold should move the chains, but expecting him to push past 250 means betting on a pass-heavy script or broken coverage downfield — neither of which is guaranteed.

Best Bet: Under 230.5 passing yards

Sam Darnold Passing Touchdowns Prop

Projected line: 1.5 passing TDs

This is where things flip. Seattle has been excellent inside the red zone with Darnold, especially off play-action. The Patriots are strong between the 20s, but they’ve been more vulnerable near the goal line when linebackers are forced to respect the run.

Even if Darnold doesn’t pile up yards, two passing touchdowns is a very realistic outcome — particularly if one comes on a short, schemed throw.

Best Bet: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-122)

Public Betting Tickets

Numbers update frequently — check the latest on the NFL public betting chart and learn usage basics in our public betting guide.

Sam Darnold Completions Prop

Projected line: 22.5 completions

This prop quietly lines up beautifully with Seattle’s offensive identity. Expect quick reads, high-percentage throws, and plenty of early-down passing to avoid obvious third-and-long situations. Even if Darnold’s yards stay modest, volume through efficiency can still get him there.

If Seattle runs 65–70 offensive plays, Darnold completing 23+ passes is well within reach without him having to force anything.

Best Bet: Over 20.5 completions (-102)

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop

Projected line: 0.5 interceptions

Super Bowl pressure narratives always drive action toward the “yes interception” side, but Darnold’s postseason approach has been noticeably conservative. Seattle has done a great job keeping him out of obvious passing downs, and New England’s pass rush isn’t elite enough to force constant panic throws.

If Seattle plays from ahead or keeps the game tight, Darnold’s risk profile stays low.

Best Bet: No interception

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop

Projected line: 5.5 rushing yards

Darnold isn’t a runner by design, but he’s sneaky effective when coverage turns its back. One or two scrambles can clear this number quickly, especially if New England’s man coverage opens up lanes on third down.

This is more about opportunity than game plan — and the opportunity should be there.

Best Bet: Over 5.5 rushing yards

Final Prediction: Sam Darnold Prop Best Bets for Super Bowl LX

If you’re building a Super Bowl prop card around Sam Darnold, the sweet spot is efficiency over explosion. Seattle doesn’t need him to be the star — just the steady hand.

Best Sam Darnold Props to Bet:

• Under 230.5 passing yards

• Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

• Over 20.5 completions

• No interception

• Over 5.5 rushing yards

Projected Stat Line:
24 completions, 225 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 0 INTs, 18 rushing yards

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