AFC South rivals clash in Week 13 when the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Houston Texans at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.
After jumping out to a 17-0 lead, the Texans blew an opportunity to beat the Colts in Week 12 and lost 35-27. Houston failed to cover as 4-point underdogs, while the combined score went over the posted total of 48 points. Matt Schaub threw for 284 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for the Texans, while Kevin Walter had seven receptions for 73 yards.
The Jaguars lost to the 49ers 20-3 as a 3-point underdog in Week 12, while the combined score went under the posted total of 42.5 points. David Garrard threw for 307 yards for Jacksonville, while Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 75 yards on 15 carries in the loss.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Texans 1-point favorites against the Jaguars in Week 13. The over/under total for this game has been set at 46.5 points.
Our free pick prediction for this game is the Texans –1. Houston is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games on the road and 11-4 against the number in its last 15 games when playing Jacksonville.
Both of these teams need a win in order to keep their slim playoff hopes alive – especially Houston. The Texans’ potent offense should have plenty of success against a Jaguars secondary that is allowing 242.9 passing yards per game.
Take Houston –1 and the under 46.5. The total has gone under in four of Houston’s last six games when playing on the road against Jacksonville.
Our NFL Week 13 Free Pick for this matchup is: HOUSTON TEXANS -1 and UNDER 46.5.
341 Houston Texans –1 Over 46.5
342 Jacksonville Jaguars +1 Under 46.5
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
[RB] 08/23/2009 - Jeremiah Johnson IR ( Shoulder )
[OG] 09/21/2009 - Chester Pitts IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/01/2009 - Chaun Thompson IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/06/2009 - Khary Campbell IR ( Knee )
[TE] 11/03/2009 - Owen Daniels IR ( Knee )
[S] 11/25/2009 - Eugene Wilson IR ( Toe )
[CB] 11/26/2009 - Antwaun Molden IR ( Quad )
[OT] 11/30/2009 - Duane Brown injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Knee )
[DL] 09/15/2009 - Rob Meier out for season ( Shoulder )
[DE] 09/18/2009 - Reggie Hayward IR ( Leg )
[CB] 09/01/2009 - Don Carey IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 08/31/2009 - Jeremy Mincey IR ( Hand )
[WR] 09/21/2009 - Troy Williamson IR ( Shoulder )
[OT] 11/29/2009 - Maurice Williams "?" Sunday vs. Houston ( Illness )
[CB] 11/08/2009 - Scott Starks IR ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/16/2009 - Jarett Dillard IR ( Ankle )
[CB] 11/29/2009 - Rashean Mathis "?" Sunday vs. Houston ( Groin )
[LB] 11/26/2009 - Bryan Smith IR ( Shoulder )
Posted: 12/6/09 7:10AM ET