Jets vs. Patriots Pick
AFC East rivals clash in Foxboro this Sunday when the New England Patriots host the New York Jets in Week 11.
The Jets fell to the Jaguars 24-22 as a 7-point favorite in Week 11. Mark Sanchez threw for 212 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for New York, while running back Thomas Jones rushed for 77 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries.
Bill Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his own 28-yard line cost the Patriots a win over the Colts in Week 11. Indianapolis beat New England 35-34, although he Pats covered as 3-point underdogs. The combined score went over the posted total of 48.5 as Tom Brady threw for 366 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for New England. Randy Moss also hauled in nine receptions for 179 yards and two touchdowns.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Patriots 10-point favorites over the Jets for Week 11. The over/under total for this game has been set at 45 points.
Recent trends favor the Patriots in this matchup. New England is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven games, while New York is just 1-5 against the number in its last six games. The Patriots are also 4-2 against the spread in its last six games at home.
Crafty bettors will always keep these things in mind while looking at the games on Sunday: Home dogs are good plays, never eat too much chalk and never bet against the Patriots coming off a loss.
New England suffered an embarrassing defeat in Indianapolis last Sunday night and will look to take out on a Jets team that is stumbling backwards. Sanchez hasn’t looked comfortable in months and will surely succumb to the pressure of playing in a hostile environment. We also expect Belichick to throw the kitchen sink at Rex Ryan’s injury-riddled defense and take advantage of some Jets’ defenders who are out this week.
We love the Patriots in this matchup and suggest you eat the chalk because this one could get ugly in a hurry. We also suggest taking the over, which has hit in six of New England’s last eight games at home.
Our NFL Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -10 and OVER 48.
427 New York Jets +10.5 Over 45
428 New England Patriots –10.5 Under 45
NY Jets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on the road against New England
NY Jets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
New England is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
[DT] 10/20/2009 - Kris Jenkins IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/26/2009 - Leon Washington IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Vernon Gholston doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Hamstring )
[S] 11/20/2009 - Jim Leonhard is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. New England ( Thumb )
[LB] 08/26/2009 - Tyrone McKenzie IR ( Knee )
[OL] 09/05/2009 - George Bussey IR ( Knee )
[RB] 10/08/2009 - Fred Taylor out at least 6-8 weeks ( Ankle )
[RB] 11/15/2009 - Sammy Morris "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[OT] 11/15/2009 - Matt Light "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[DE] 11/03/2009 - Jarvis Green out indefinitely ( Knee )
[C] 11/15/2009 - Dan Koppen "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[SS] 11/15/2009 - Brandon Meriweather "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Foot )
[DT] 11/15/2009 - Ty Warren "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[LB] 11/15/2009 - Eric Alexander "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Groin )
[WR] 11/18/2009 - Brandon Tate IR ( Knee )
[DB] 11/19/2009 - Shawn Springs is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[OG] 11/16/2009 - Stephen Neal injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Head )
[WR] 11/16/2009 - Sam Aiken injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Hip )
[LB] 11/16/2009 - Tully Banta-Cain injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Groin )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Rob Ninkovich "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Knee )
[LB] 11/19/2009 - Gary Guyton "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets ( Illness )
Posted: 11/22/09 3:05PM ET