Bills vs. Jaguars Pick

Just days after firing head coach Dick Jauron, the Buffalo Bills head south to take on an improving Jacksonville Jaguars team at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.

Bet NFL Week 11

The Bills were drubbed 41-17 by the Titans as an 8-point underdog in Week 10, which certainly didn’t help Jauron stave off a pink slip. The combined score went over the posted total of 41 as Trent Edwards threw for 185 yards with a touchdown and an interception in the loss, while Lee Evans caught four passes for 50 yards and two touchdowns.

The Jaguars improved to 5-4 on the year after beating the Jets 24-22 as a 7-point underdog in Week 10. The combined score went over the posted total of 41 as David Garrard threw for 221 yards with a touchdown pass and a touchdown run in the win. Running back Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 123 yards and a touchdown on 24 carries.

Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com has made the Jaguars 9-point favorites over the Bills on Sunday. The over/under total for this matchup has been set at 43 points.

The trends don’t favor the Jaguars in this matchup as they’re just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games when playing Buffalo. The Bills are also 6-2 against the number in their last eight games on the road.

That said, the Bills are battling major turmoil after firing Jauron earlier in the week and replacing him with coordinator Perry Fewell. Buffalo is also making a quarterback change as Fewell benched Edwards in favor of the equally unimpressive Ryan Fitzpatrick.

The Jags aren’t a powerhouse by any means and the trends aren’t in their favor in this matchup, but Jack Del Rio’s team is improving every week and the Bills are going to have a tough time scoring. As long as Jacksonville doesn’t turn the ball over and kill itself with mistakes, the Jags should soundly beat a dysfunctional Buffalo team on Sunday.

Our free pick prediction for this game is Jacksonville –9 and the over 43. The total has gone over in six of Buffalo’s last eight games on the road and in five of Jacksonville’s last five games at home.

Our NFL Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS -9 and OVER 43.

Bills vs. Jaguars Current Odds

409 Buffalo Bills +9 Over 43

410 Jacksonville Jaguars –9 Under 43

NFL Week 11 Betting Trends

All games in this series since 1992

BUFFALO is 5-4 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE since 1992

BUFFALO is 5-4 straight up against JACKSONVILLE since 1992

5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at JACKSONVILLE since 1992

BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE since 1992

BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE since 1992

2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons.

JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NFL Week 11 Injury Report

BUFFALO

[WR] 11/15/2009 - James Hardy "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Knee )

[OT] 10/01/2009 - Brad Butler IR ( Knee )

[TE] 09/22/2009 - Derek Schouman IR ( Knee )

[CB] 10/01/2009 - Leodis McKelvin IR ( Fibula )

[LB] 10/12/2009 - Marcus Buggs IR ( Knee )

[LB] 10/14/2009 - Kawika Mitchell IR ( Knee )

[OL] 11/17/2009 - Jonathan Scott "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Personal )

[LB] 11/15/2009 - Keith Ellison "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Quad )

[CB] 11/03/2009 - Terrence McGee expected to miss 2 weeks ( Knee )

[DT] 11/15/2009 - Kyle Williams "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Knee )

[WR] 11/15/2009 - Roscoe Parrish "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Knee )

[OL] 11/16/2009 - Demetrius Bell out indefinitely ( Knee )

[CB] 11/17/2009 - Ashton Youboty is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )

[S] 11/16/2009 - Donte Whitner "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )

[HC] 11/17/2009 - Dick Jauron has beend fired, DC Fewell Perry is expected to serve as interim coach ( None )

JACKSONVILLE

[DL] 09/15/2009 - Rob Meier out for season ( Shoulder )

[DE] 09/18/2009 - Reggie Hayward IR ( Leg )

[CB] 09/01/2009 - Don Carey IR ( Shoulder )

[LB] 08/31/2009 - Jeremy Mincey IR ( Hand )

[WR] 09/21/2009 - Troy Williamson IR ( Shoulder )

[OT] 11/15/2009 - Maurice Williams "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )

[CB] 11/08/2009 - Scott Starks IR ( Hamstring )

[WR] 11/15/2009 - Ernest Wilford "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Ankle )

[WR] 11/16/2009 - Jarett Dillard out for season ( Ankle )

[CB] 11/17/2009 - Rashean Mathis doubtful Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Groin )

Bet NFL Week 11

Posted: 11/22/09 7:05AM ET

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