Saints vs. Falcons Free Pick

saints falcons nfl week 13 free picks predictions odds trends totals

NEW ORLEANS, LA (The Spread) – NFC South rivals clash on Thursday Night Football tonight when the hapless Falcons host the first-place Saints at 8:25PM ET.

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NFL Odds: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Saints are 9.5-point road favorites over the Falcons, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 52.5 points. New Orleans enters play tonight with an 8-2 record and is 2-2 on the road, while Atlanta is 2-8 overall and 2-3 at home.

Line Movement: The Saints opened as 6-point favorites but the spread has jumped to 9 or 9.5 at most online sports books, while the total opened at 52.5 and has stayed at that number. (Although some books list the total at 53.5.)

Public Betting: Of the wagers currently placed on this game, 77% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.

NFL Free Pick: Take New Orleans. According to latest NFL trends, the Saints are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games versus the Falcons, which included a cover in Week 1 as a small home favorite. New Orleans is also 4-0 against the number in its last four games following an ATS loss and 11-5 ATS in its last 16 road games versus a team with a losing home record. As for the Falcons, they're 1-5 against the number in their last six divisional games and 0-4 ATS in their lat four games overall and four games versus NFC opponents. Atlanta is still banged up on both sides of the ball and looks like it mailed in the towel weeks ago. The Saints should roll tonight.

2013 NFL WEEK 12 FREE PICK: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -9.5

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