Packers vs. Falcons Free Pick
(The Spread) – The Sunday Night Football Game this week features a rematch between two teams that met in the playoffs last season.
NFL Odds: The Packers absolutely destroyed the Falcons 48-21 when these two teams met in the Divisional Round playoffs last January. Oddsmakers have installed Green Bay as a 5.5-point favorite for the rematch, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 53.5 points.
Line Movement: The Packers opened as a 4-point favorite earlier this week but the spread has steadily climbed since then. The public is in clear support of Green Bay after watching the Pack dismantle the Falcons in Atlanta just eight months ago. The Packers are 6-point favorites at the Las Vegas Hilton, while the over/under total is currently set at 54 points after opening at 53.5.
Public Betting: Of the 12,700-plus wagers on today’s game, 78% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Packers. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 5 Free Pick: Take Green Bay. There’s just no reason to back the Falcons at this point in the season. Outside of one half in Seattle last Sunday, Atlanta has played poorly all year long. While they certainly have enough weapons to challenge the Packers’ suspect defense, the Atlanta coaching staff is often conservative and predictable when it comes to its game plans. Thus, look for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to eventually build a two-score lead and then push the pedal to the floor. According to latest NFL trends, the road team is 6-1 against the spread in the last seven meetings between these two teams, while the Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the NFC.
2011 NFL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: GREEN BAY PACKERS –5.5
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