NFL Betting Report Print
Saturday, 30 September 2006 16:19
NFL Headline News

NFL BETTING REPORT

Now that we have reached Week 4 of the NFL season, we wondered how teams that started the season at 3-0 either SU or ATS fared in this fourth week. Well he did the research as found the results to be quite homey.

Starting with teams that began the year 3-0 STRAIGHT UP, these clubs have fared very well if their fourth game is at home, going 30-19-1, 61.2 percent ATS since 1985. However it has been a totally different story if the fourth game is on the road, as the undefeated teams went just 32-45-5, 41.6 percent ATS in this circumstance. Put another way, simply betting the HOME team in any Week 4 game involving a 3-0 SU team would have yielded a nifty record of 75-51, 59.5 percent ATS over the last 21 years!

We then turned our focus to teams that began the year 3-0 ATS hoping to see similar results, but we were only half right. Teams that began the year 3-0 ATS and then were at home in Week 4 only hovered around the 50 percent range, so no profit could have been made either way. However, the best angle we found from a percentage standpoint was when the 3-0 ATS teams were on the road in Week 4, as these clubs went just 15-30-5, for a prime GO-AGAINST of 66.7 percent since 1985!

We did the work for you and have found three plays this week that qualify under Angle #1, three more under Angle #2 including one dual qualifier, and two under Angle #3 including another dual qualifier.

ANGLE #1
NFL Week 4 Only - Play ON Home Team that is 3-0 SU (30-19-1, 61.2% ATS since 1985)

Week 4 Plays (HOME teams are the plays):

SUNDAY, October 1
San Diego -2.5 at BALTIMORE (1:00 ET) - Getting points with the Ravens is a nice bonus here as home underdogs that qualify under this system are 4-1, 80.0 percent ATS.

New England at CINCINNATI -6 (4:15 ET) - The Bengals showed us a lot last week by winning in Pittsburgh, and the weak New England receiving corps may be its undoing here.

Seattle at CHICAGO -3.5 (8:15 ET) - As you will see, this is a dual qualifier because it is a battle of two unbeaten SU teams. Also Shaun Alexander being out for Seattle makes this task a bit easier for the Bears.

ANGLE #2
NFL Week 4 Only - Play AGAINST Road Team that is 3-0 SU (45-32-5, 58.4% ATS since 1985)

Week 4 Plays (HOME teams are the plays):

SUNDAY, October 1
New Orleans at CAROLINA -8 (1:00 ET) - The system says to play AGAINST the Saints and on Carolina here. This is a lot of points to give, but New Orleans is in a HUGE letdown spot after reopening the Super Dome Monday night.

Indianapolis -9 at NY JETS (1:00 ET) - This is the system play we like the least, as we just do not see how the Jets offense can keep pace with Manning and Co. Still, New York is the play for tracking purposes.

Seattle at CHICAGO -3.5 (8:15 ET) - Chicago is a double qualifier from Angle #1 above.

ANGLE #3
NFL Week 4 Only - Play AGAINST Road Team that is 3-0 ATS (30-15-5, 66.7% ATS since 1985)

Week 4 Plays (HOME teams are the plays):

SUNDAY, October 1
New Orleans at CAROLINA -8 (1:00 ET) - Carolina is a dual qualifier from Angle #2 above.

Minnesota at BUFFALO -1 (1:00 ET) - We are actually on the opposite side of this one, as we feel that Minnesota is the far superior team. Still, Buffalo IS home, so you just never know.

By: David Michaels - theSpread.com - Email Us

More NFL Football coverage from theSpread.com

 - Las Vegas Hilton Contest
 - NFL public betting chart
 - NFL teams
 - NFL standings
 - NFL schedule
 - NFL injuries
 - NFL matchups
 - NFL stats
 - NFL odds
 - NFL news wire
 - NFL top stories
 - Accuscore NFL predictions
 - NFL scoreboard
 - Expert NFL Picks
 - NFL trends
 - Comments and discussion
 - Signup for theSpread.com daily newsletter
 - NFL Home

 

NFL Team Pages

Top NFL Public Bets

#1 111 Detroit Lions 82%
#2 115 New England Patriots 82%
#3 109 Green Bay Packers 79%
#4 121 Baltimore Ravens 78%
#5 105 Philadelphia Eagles 78%
#6 125 Buffalo Bills 76%
#7 131 Denver Broncos 72%
#8 107 Minnesota Vikings 67%
#9 103 San Diego Chargers 65%
#10 118 Pittsburgh Steelers 64%
View All: NFL |  NBA |  NCAAF |  NCAAB |  MLB |  NHL

Recent NFL Discussions

NFL Futures

NFL TEAM CONFERENCE ODDS CURRENT
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 11/10
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 7/4
GREEN BAY PACKERS 2/1
DENVER BRONCOS 11/5
DALLAS COWBOYS 6/1
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 8/1
DETROIT LIONS 9/1
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 10/1
ARIZONA CARDINALS 12/1
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 14/1
View All

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com