Jags vs. Browns Pick
The Jacksonville Jaguars will put their slim playoff hopes on the line when they take on the suddenly hot Cleveland Browns at 1:00PM ET on Sunday.
The Jaguars lost to the Patriots 35-7 as a 9-point underdog in week 16, while the combined score went under the posted total of 44.5 points. David Garrard threw for 185 yards with two interceptions and a touchdown run for Jacksonville, while Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 63 yards on 18 carries.
The Browns beat the Raiders 23-9 as a 3-point favorite in Week 16, while the combined score fell under the posted total of 37 points. Jerome Harrison rushed for 148 yards with a touchdown on 39 carries, while Derek Anderson threw for 121 yards and a touchdown in the win.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made the Browns 1-point favorites over the Jaguars in Week 17. The over/under total for Sunday’s game has been set at 37.5 points.
Our free pick prediction for this game is the Browns –1. These are two teams heading in different directions and the Jaguars haven’t played well on the road all season. Meanwhile, the Browns have won three in a row and have covered in their last five games.
Jacksonville is just 1-5 against the spread in its last six games and 1-4 ATS in its last five games on the road. Cleveland is 5-0 against the number in its last five games and 4-2 ATS in its last six games at home.
Our free pick prediction for the total is the Over 37.5. Cleveland’s offense has been rejuvenated with Harrison in the backfield and the Browns should have some success putting points on the board against an average Jacksonville defense. The Jaguars should also have a fair amount of success against a Cleveland defense that has allowed 23.9 points per game this season.
Our NFL Week 17 Free Pick for this matchup is: CLEVELAND BROWNS -1 and OVER 37.5.
Jaguars vs. Browns Current Odds
305 Jacksonville Jaguars +1 Over 37.5
306 Cleveland Browns –1 Under 37.5
Jacksonville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home
JACKSONVILLE
[DL] 09/15/2009 – Rob Meier out for season ( Shoulder )
[DE] 09/18/2009 – Reggie Hayward IR ( Leg )
[CB] 09/01/2009 – Don Carey IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 08/31/2009 – Jeremy Mincey IR ( Hand )
[WR] 09/21/2009 – Troy Williamson IR ( Shoulder )
[CB] 11/08/2009 – Scott Starks IR ( Hamstring )
[WR] 11/16/2009 – Jarett Dillard IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/26/2009 – Bryan Smith IR ( Shoulder )
[RB] 12/17/2009 – Greg Jones IR ( Leg )
[LB] 12/21/2009 – Clint Ingram IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 12/27/2009 – Tank Daniels "?" Sunday vs. Cleveland ( Groin )
[WR] 12/27/2009 – Torry Holt injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Cleveland ( Finger )
[TE] 12/28/2009 – Marcedes Lewis is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Cleveland ( Concussion )
[DT] 12/28/2009 – Atiyyah Ellison is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Cleveland ( Knee )
CLEVELAND
[WR] 08/20/2009 – Donte Stallworth out for season ( Suspension )
[OG] 09/01/2009 – Ryan Tucker IR ( Knee )
[OG] 09/01/2009 – Fred Weary IR ( Leg )
[RB] 10/03/2009 – James Davis IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/20/2009 – D’Qwell Jackson IR ( Pectoral )
[LB] 11/03/2009 – Eric Barton IR ( Neck )
[TE] 11/19/2009 – Steve Heiden IR ( Ankle )
[P] 11/19/2009 – Dave Zastudil IR ( Knee )
[DT] 11/30/2009 – Shaun Rogers IR ( Ankle )
[FS] 12/03/2009 – Brodney Pool IR ( Concussion )
[RB] 12/02/2009 – Jamal Lewis IR ( Head )
[TE] 09/06/2009 – Evan Moore IR ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 12/07/2009 – C.J. Mosley IR ( Leg )
[QB] 12/22/2009 – Brady Quinn IR ( Foot )
[T] 12/27/2009 – John StClair "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )
[WR] 12/28/2009 – Brian Robiskie injured last game, doubtful Sunday vs. Jacksonville ( Ankle )
Posted: 1/3/10 7:05AM ET