Week 11 College Football Picks – Miami vs. North Carolina Print
Written by TheSpread   
Saturday, 14 November 2009 09:24
NCAAF Headline News

Miami at UNC

Two ACC teams in need of a win collide Saturday when North Carolina hosts No. 12 Miami at 3:30PM ET from Kenan Memorial Stadium.

Bet Miami at North Carolina
Miami is 7-2 on the season and 5-4 against the spread. The Hurricanes have won two straight but covered in just two of their last five. The road team is just 1-8 in this series.

North Carolina is 6-3 on the season and 4-4 against the spread. The Tar Heels have won two straight and three of their last four, covering in those three wins as well. Two of the three North Carolina wins have been at home.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made Miami 3-point road favorites over North Carolina on Saturday night. The over/under total for this game has been established at 42.5.

This pick is about both team’s strengths as the Hurricanes have the stronger offense, but the Tar Heels have the stronger defense. Miami is scoring 32.3 points per-game while the Tar Heels are giving up just 15.3 points per-game and only 250 yards per-game. Jacory Harris has shown that he can turn the ball over for Miami, as he has 12 interceptions with 18 touchdowns this year. If Harris can avoid turnovers, the Hurricanes should be able to cover the 3-point spread.

The UNC offense has struggled as quarterback T.J. Yates has nine touchdowns and 10 interceptions. The Tar Heels have performed poorly against worse defenses than Miami’s so look for the Hurricanes to keep the UNC offense in check and be able to find a way to post some points. With the spread so low, we suggest a pick of Miami to cover in a low-scoring affair.

Our College Football Week 11 Free Pick for this matchup is: MIAMI -3 and UNDER 42.5.
College Football Week 11 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992

N CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992

N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI since 1992

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 

N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 

2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1992

N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992

N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI since 1992

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.

N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 

N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 

1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Week 11 College Football Injury Report
MIAMI

[DE] 09/05/2009 - Gavin Hardin out for season ( Neck ) 

[LB] 09/05/2009 - Shayon Green out for season ( Lower Body ) 

[DE] 08/21/2009 - Adewale Ojomo out for season ( Jaw ) 

[FB] 11/08/2009 - Patrick Hill doubtful Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Ankle ) 

[CB] 10/10/2009 - Ryan Hill out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[TE] 10/10/2009 - Richard Gordon out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[DT] 10/12/2009 - Marcus Forston out for season ( Ankle ) 

[LB] 11/11/2009 - Sean Spence is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Knee ) 

[LB] 10/13/2009 - Jordan Futch out for season ( Knee ) 

[DE] 11/11/2009 - Eric Moncur is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Lower Body ) 

[S] 11/08/2009 - JoJo Nicolas doubtful Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Shoulder ) 

[S] 11/11/2009 - Ray-Ray Armstrong is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. North Carolina ( Knee ) 

[QB] 11/03/2009 - Taylor Cook out for season, transfer. ( Undisclosed ) 

[DL] 11/05/2009 - Dyron Dye out indefinitely ( Lower Body ) 

N CAROLINA

[T] 09/07/2009 - Carl Gaskins out for season ( Knee ) 

[S] 09/07/2009 - Matt Merletti out for season ( Knee ) 

[WR] 11/08/2009 - Joshua Adams "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Shoulder ) 

[RB] 10/14/2009 - Jamal Womble out for season ( Wrist ) 

[TE] 11/08/2009 - Ryan Taylor is downgraded to likely to redshirt ( Knee ) 

[RB] 11/08/2009 - Shaun Draughn out for season ( Shoulder ) 

[C] 11/10/2009 - Cam Holland "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Stinger ) 

[C] 11/10/2009 - Lowell Dyer "?" Saturday vs. Miami Florida ( Flu ) 

[WR] 11/11/2009 - Rashad Mason out indefinitely ( Suspension ) 
Miami at North Carolina Odds
Miami Hurricanes -3 Over 42.5 (-175)

North Carolina Tar Heels +3 Under 42.5 (+155)
Bet Miami at North Carolina
Posted: 11/14/09 2:24PM ET

 

 

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